A Services Target of Thirteen to Fifteen PercentNarrow moat

KLA (KLAC) — moat facet

KLA targets 13% to 15% annual service growth to 2030, and service has compounded at 15.0% a year since 2019.

KLA has put a number on how fast it expects the installed base to pay. On the third-quarter fiscal 2026 call management gave a "services revenue CAGR growth model of approximately 13% to 15%" through 2030, inside an overall revenue objective raised to 13% to 17% a year1.

KLA service revenue growth by fiscal year (%)25.6FY202013.6FY202113.8FY202210.8FY202310.0FY202415.2FY202516.5FY2026KLA Forms 10-K FY2021, FY2023 and FY2026, revenue by product category
Above 13% in five of seven years.

The target is modest against the record. Service revenue grew from $1,176.7 million in fiscal 2019 to $3,125.9 million in fiscal 202623, a compound 15.0% a year4, at the top of the new range. In fiscal 2026 it grew 16%5.

That makes service the most predictable part of the model. Product revenue depends on how many fabs customers build; service depends mainly on how many KLA tools are already running, which only rises in the short run.

The model rests on an assumed wafer fab equipment market of $215 billion, plus or minus $20 billion, by 20306, but service growth depends less on that than anything else KLA sells.

The overall revenue objective of 13% to 17% rests on KLA's view that its share of equipment spending keeps rising. The model assumes semiconductor industry growth of 11% a year from 2025 to 20307; service at 13% to 15% would outgrow the industry it serves, which is what a growing installed base should do.

The latest quarter ran above the range. Service revenue was $820.4 million in the June 2026 quarter against $702.6 million a year earlier8, up 16.8%9. A single quarter proves little, but it shows the target was set below the current pace rather than above it.

Hitting the range while products grow faster would shrink service's weight. At 23.0% of fiscal 2026 revenue10, service would slip toward a fifth of the company within four years if products grew at the top of the 13% to 17% objective and service at the bottom of its own range1112.

The target is testable every year. Service growth below 13% in a year when the installed base was still growing would mean either lower prices or customers servicing more of the fleet themselves.

Moat trajectory: Holding steady

15.0% a year FY2019-FY2026, at the top of the target.

The number that tests this moat
Moat Explorer calc
Service revenue growth, latest quarter
+16.8% y/y (Q4 FY2026: $820.4M vs $702.6M)

Against a 13%-15% target; below 13% while the fleet grows would mean lower prices or lost contracts.

How it's calculated: Q4 FY2026 service revenue divided by Q4 FY2025 service revenue, KLA Q4 FY2026 results release.
Source: Moat Explorer calculation from KLA filings ↗
⚠ Threats to the moat
⚠ THREAT 01
A Target Set at the Top
KLA's service target was raised in a record year, and service grew below 13% in two of the last seven years.
References
  1. ReportedOn the third-quarter fiscal 2026 call management gave a "services revenue CAGR growth model of approximately 13% to 15%" through 2030, inside an overall revenue objective raised to 13% to 17% a year.
    The Motley Fool, KLA Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call transcript - process control share, advanced packaging, the 2030 financial model, capital allocation, China and memory; per-share figures before the split - the 2030 financial model and capital allocation target. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 29 April 2026 · source ↗
  2. ReportedService revenue grew from $1,176.7 million in fiscal 2019 to $3,125.9 million in fiscal 2026, a compound 15.0% a year, at the top of the new range.
    KLA Corporation Form 10-K for fiscal 2026 (year ended 30 June 2026) - Item 7 MD&A and revenue notes: revenue by product category and region, gross margin and research spending. — FY2026 · publ. 6 August 2026 · source ↗
  3. ReportedService revenue grew from $1,176.7 million in fiscal 2019 to $3,125.9 million in fiscal 2026, a compound 15.0% a year, at the top of the new range.
    KLA Corporation Form 10-K for fiscal 2021 - revenue by product category, segment and region for fiscal 2019-2021, and customer concentration. — FY2021 · publ. August 2021 · source ↗
  4. Moat Explorer calcService revenue grew from $1,176.7 million in fiscal 2019 to $3,125.9 million in fiscal 2026, a compound 15.0% a year, at the top of the new range.
    Moat Explorer calculation from KLA's reported figures ($ millions unless stated; fiscal years end on 30 June; per-share figures adjusted for the ten-for-one split of June 2026). Revenue growth: FY2022 9,211.9 / 6,918.7 - 1 = +33.1%; FY2023 10,496.1 / 9,211.9 - 1 = +13.9%; FY2024 9,812.2 / 10,496.1 - 1 = -6.5%, the only decline FY2015-FY2026; FY2025 12,156.2 / 9,812.2 - 1 = +23.9%; FY2026 13,579.5 / 12,156.2 - 1 = +11.7%; FY2015-FY2026 13,579.5 / 2,814.0 = 4.8 times, 15.4% a year; FY2026 against FY2023 13,579.5 / 10,496.1 - 1 = +29%. Net income FY2024 2,761.9 / 3,387.3 - 1 = -18.5%, a fall of 625.4, of which the 289.5 impairment is 46%; net margin 4,830.8 / 13,579.5 = 35.6%; Other FY2023 381.1 / 259.4 - 1 = +46.9%; gross margin 1,598.8 / 2,814.0 = 56.8% (FY2015), 2,699.5 / 4,568.9 = 59.1% (FY2019); FY2026 4,830.8 / 4,061.6 - 1 = +18.9%; FY2015-FY2026 4,830.8 / 366.2 = 13.2 times; EPS 3.66 / 0.224 = 16.3 times. Operating income (no line reported): gross profit 8,324.4 - R&D 1,532.1 - SG&A 1,131.5 = 5,660.8 (FY2026), 5,660.8 / 13,579.5 = 41.7%; interest cover 5,660.8 / 284.4 = about 20 times. Segments FY2026: Semiconductor Process Control 12,244.7 / 13,579.5 = 90.2% of revenue; segment gross profit 12,244.7 - 4,453.6 = 7,791.1, 7,791.1 / 12,244.7 = 63.6%; segment profit 5,482.8 / 12,244.7 = 44.8%; 5,482.8 / 5,655.4 = 96.9% of segment profit; Specialty Semiconductor Process 64.6 / 584.1 = 11.1%, gross 278.8 / 584.1 = 47.7% (FY2021 206.7 / 369.2 = 56.0%); PCB and Component Inspection 108.0 / 750.4 = 14.4%, gross 385.3 / 750.4 = 51.3% (FY2024 159.0 / 552.5 = 28.8%); smaller segments 64.6 + 108.0 = 172.6; SSP segment gross margin FY2022 242.5 / 456.6 = 53.1%, FY2023 281.9 / 543.4 = 51.9%, FY2024 282.9 / 528.7 = 53.5%, FY2025 303.9 / 587.1 = 51.8%; Orbotech segments revenue less product categories 1,334.5 - (502.5 + 460.3) = 371.7; process control share of research 1,341.3 / 1,532.1 = 87.5%, almost nine-tenths; SG&A 1,131.5 / 13,579.5 = 8.3%; segment revenue 584.1 + 750.4 = 1,334.5. Process control segment research 1,341.3 / 12,244.7 = 11%; segment revenue growth 12,244.7 / 10,947.4 - 1 = +11.9%; SSP products 502.5 / 584.1 = 86% of segment revenue, research 59.4 / 584.1 = 10%; PCI Q4 241.1 / 750.4 = 32% of the year; process control lines FY2019 (1,630.9 + 1,161.3) / 4,568.9 = 61.1%; patterning within process control lines 2,791.1 / (4,336.7 + 2,791.1) = 39.2% (FY2023), 2,706.8 / (6,630.8 + 2,706.8) = 29.0% (FY2026); services share FY2019 1,176.7 / 4,568.9 = 25.8%; capital spending 375.9 / 45.8 = 8.2 times; peers 656.33 + 393.13 + 383.87 = 1,433.3, 1,433.3 / 245.24 = 5.8 times; FY2015 customers 15 + 12 + 11 = 38%. Process control segment gross margin FY2018 2,554.2 / 3,944.0 = 64.8%; FY2019 2,590.4 / 4,080.8 = 63.5%; FY2020 3,028.2 / 4,745.4 = 63.8%; FY2021 3,705.2 / 5,734.8 = 64.6%; FY2022 5,167.7 / 7,924.8 = 65.2%; FY2023 5,957.6 / 9,324.2 = 63.9%; FY2024 5,629.3 / 8,733.6 = 64.5%; FY2025 7,024.6 / 10,947.4 = 64.2%. Process control revenue FY2024 8,733.6 / 9,324.2 - 1 = -6.3%. Orbotech-related goodwill impairments 256.6 + 289.5 + 239.1 = 785.2. Research: 1,532.1 / 530.6 = 2.9 times; 530.6 / 2,814.0 = 18.9% (FY2015); 526.7 / 3,480.0 = 15.1% (FY2017); 711.0 / 4,568.9 = 15.6% (FY2019); 928.5 / 6,918.7 = 13.4% (FY2021); 1,296.7 / 10,496.1 = 12.4% (FY2023); 1,279.0 / 9,812.2 = 13.0% (FY2024); 1,532.1 / 13,579.5 = 11.3% (FY2026); FY2016 481.3 against 530.6 and FY2024 1,279.0 / 1,296.7 - 1 = -1.4%; research staff 27% x 17,000 = about 4,600. Product categories (FY2019-FY2026): wafer inspection 6,630.8 / 1,630.9 = 4.1 times, 22.2% a year; FY2025 6,198.8 / 4,333.3 - 1 = +43.1%; FY2026 6,630.8 / 6,198.8 - 1 = +7.0%; share 1,630.9 / 4,568.9 = 35.7% (FY2019), 6,198.8 / 12,156.2 = 51.0% (FY2025), 6,630.8 / 13,579.5 = 48.8% (FY2026). Patterning 2,706.8 / 1,161.3 = 2.3 times, 12.9% a year; FY2022 2,050.0 / 1,506.0 - 1 = +36.1%; FY2023 2,791.1 / 2,050.0 - 1 = +36.2%; FY2024 2,054.4 / 2,791.1 - 1 = -26.4%; FY2025 2,196.3 / 2,054.4 - 1 = +6.9%; FY2026 2,706.8 / 2,196.3 - 1 = +23.2%; share 2,791.1 / 10,496.1 = 26.6% (FY2023), 2,196.3 / 12,156.2 = 18.1% (FY2025), 2,706.8 / 13,579.5 = 19.9% (FY2026); process control lines 48.8 + 19.9 = 68.7%. SSP products 502.5 / 13,579.5 = 3.7%. PCI products 460.3 / 13,579.5 = 3.4%; FY2025 355.9 / 291.2 - 1 = +22.2%; FY2026 460.3 / 355.9 - 1 = +29.3%. Services 3,125.9 / 1,176.7 = 2.7 times, (3,125.9 / 1,176.7) ^ (1/7) - 1 = 15.0% a year; growth FY2020 +25.6%, FY2021 +13.6%, FY2022 +13.8%, FY2023 +10.8%, FY2024 2,329.6 / 2,117.0 - 1 = +10.0%, FY2025 +15.2%, FY2026 3,125.9 / 2,683.3 - 1 = +16.5%; FY2024 increase 2,329.6 - 2,117.0 = 212.6; share 2,117.0 / 10,496.1 = 20.2% (FY2023), 2,329.6 / 9,812.2 = 23.7% (FY2024), 3,125.9 / 13,579.5 = 23.0% (FY2026). Product revenue FY2023 10,496.1 - 2,117.0 = 8,379.1; FY2024 fall 8,379.1 - 7,482.7 = 896.4. A one-third fall in product revenue 10,453.5 / 3 = 3,484.5 against a year of 15% service growth 3,125.9 x 0.15 = 469, less than a seventh. Other 153.1 / 381.1 - 1 = -60%; 153.1 / 13,579.5 = 1.1%; FY2024 333.2 / 381.1 - 1 = -12.6%; FY2025 204.6 / 333.2 - 1 = -38.6%; FY2026 153.1 / 204.6 - 1 = -25.2%. Deferred system and service revenue 932.9 + 604.1 + 238.1 = 1,775.1, about $1.8 billion. Unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 3,125.9 x 12 = about 7 months of service revenue. Region: Taiwan FY2024 1,738.1 / 2,493.4 - 1 = -30.3%; FY2026 against FY2024 3,643.7 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +110%; FY2025 3,205.4 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +84.4%; FY2023 2,493.4 / 2,528.5 - 1 = -1.4%. Korea FY2019 584.1 / 1,178.6 - 1 = -50%; FY2024 906.9 / 1,895.7 - 1 = -52%; share 1,178.6 / 4,036.7 = 29.2% (FY2018), 584.1 / 4,568.9 = 12.8% (FY2019), 1,895.7 / 10,496.1 = 18.1% (FY2023), 906.9 / 9,812.2 = 9.2% (FY2024), 1,833.8 / 13,579.5 = 13.5% (FY2026). China FY2025 4,042.6 / 4,196.7 - 1 = -3.7%; FY2026 4,048.4 / 4,042.6 - 1 = +0.1%; China plus Taiwan 29.8% + 26.8% = 56.6%; Q4 FY2026 China 4,048.4 - 3,091.6 = 956.7, 956.7 / 3,657.6 = 26.2%. Backlog 12,570 / 7,860 - 1 = +59.9%; 12,570 / 13,579.5 = 93% of revenue; unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 12,570 = 14% of backlog. Advanced packaging about 1,000 / 13,579.5 = about 7% of revenue. Quarter: Q4 FY2026 revenue 3,657.6 / 3,174.7 - 1 = +15.2%; 3,657.6 / 3,415.1 - 1 = +7.1%; service 820.4 / 702.6 - 1 = +16.8%; process control 3,256.8 / 2,877.6 - 1 = +13.2%; PCB and Component Inspection 241.1 / 154.1 - 1 = +56.5%; GAAP gross margin (3,657.6 - 1,413.1) / 3,657.6 = 61.4%. Guidance midpoint 4,000 / 3,209.7 - 1 = +24.6%; 4,000 / 3,657.6 - 1 = +9.4%. Consensus fiscal 2027 18,110 / 13,579.5 - 1 = +33.4%; EPS 5.45 / 3.66 - 1 = +49%. The 2030 model at 13% a year: 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 2 = 17,340 (FY2028); 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 5 = about 25,000 (FY2031). Cash and capital: free cash flow 4,143.1 - 375.9 = 3,767.1; capital returns 2,289.8 + 1,057.8 = 3,347.6, 3,347.6 / 3,767.1 = 88.9%; dividends 1,057.8 / 4,830.8 = 21.9% of net income; buybacks 2,289.8 / 1,057.8 = 2.2 times dividends; capital spending 375.9 / 13,579.5 = 2.8% of revenue; operating cash flow 3,308.6 / 2,761.9 = 120% (FY2024), 4,081.9 / 4,061.6 = 100% (FY2025), 4,143.1 / 4,830.8 = 86% (FY2026); operating cash flow growth 4,143.1 / 4,081.9 - 1 = +1.5%; net income less operating cash flow 4,830.8 - 4,143.1 = 687.7; receivables 2,889.2 / 2,263.9 - 1 = +27.6%, an increase of 625.3; inventories 3,648.5 - 3,212.1 = 436.4; together 1,061.7. FY2015 dividends paid 3,041.1 / 366.2 = 8.3 times net income. Buybacks FY2015-FY2026 602.9 + 181.7 + 25.0 + 203.2 + 1,095.2 + 829.1 + 938.6 + 3,967.8 + 1,311.9 + 1,735.7 + 2,149.9 + 2,289.8 = 15,330.8; dividends paid 3,041.1 + 346.3 + 344.0 + 402.1 + 472.3 + 522.4 + 559.4 + 638.5 + 732.6 + 773.0 + 904.6 + 1,057.8 = 9,794.1. Diluted shares 1,319.6 / 1,637.0 - 1 = -19.4%. Net debt 5,887.4 - 1,649.8 - 3,252.6 = 985.0 (FY2026); 5,884.3 - 2,078.9 - 2,415.7 = 1,389.7 (FY2025); 6,630.1 - 1,977.1 - 2,526.9 = 2,126.1 (FY2024); 985.0 / 3,767.1 = 26% of free cash flow. Return on equity 4,830.8 / ((4,692.5 + 6,349.8) / 2 = 5,521.2) = 87.5%; FY2025 4,061.6 / ((3,368.3 + 4,692.5) / 2) = 100.8%; FY2024 2,761.9 / ((2,919.8 + 3,368.3) / 2) = 87.9%. Buyback authorisation 9,740 / 245,240 = 4%; 9,740 / (0.9 x 3,767.1) = 2.9 years; 9,740 / 571.0 = 17 quarters. Valuation: market value 245,240 / 383,870 = 0.64 (Applied Materials); 656,330 / 245,240 = 2.7 (ASML); 245,240 / 14,050 = 17.5 (Onto Innovation); 393,130 / 245,240 = 1.6 (Lam Research); 245,240 / 394,116 - 1 = -38% (June to September 2026); 394,116 / 118,454 = 3.3 times (June 2025 to June 2026); price 187.92 / 307.37 - 1 = -38.9%; 187.92 / 227.35 - 1 = -17% (June buyback price); 227.35 / 187.92 = 1.21 (21% more shares); free cash flow yield 3,767.1 / 245,240 = 1.5%; research 1,532.1 / 245,240 = 0.6% of KLA market value and 1,532.1 / 14,050 = 10.9%, about a ninth, of Onto Innovation's; revenue 13,579.5 / Lam Research 23,232.7 = 58%; market value 245,240 / 393,130 = 62%; buybacks 2,289.8 / 187.92 = 12.2 million shares at the September price, 12.2 / 1,319.6 = 0.9%; authorisation 9,740 / 2,289.8 = 4.3 years at the fiscal 2026 pace; P/E 245,240 / 4,830.8 = 50.8; P/S 245,240 / 13,579.5 = 18.1. Gross margin gap 61.3% less Lam Research about 50% = about 11 points - growth rates and multiples over time. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in KLA's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, quarterly results releases, XBRL filings and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  5. ReportedIn fiscal 2026 it grew 16%.
    KLA Corporation Form 10-K for fiscal 2026 (year ended 30 June 2026) - Item 1 business: products, history, competitors, customers and employees. — FY2026 · publ. 6 August 2026 · source ↗
  6. ReportedThe model rests on an assumed wafer fab equipment market of $215 billion, plus or minus $20 billion, by 2030, but service growth depends less on that than anything else KLA sells.
    The Motley Fool, KLA Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call transcript - process control share, advanced packaging, the 2030 financial model, capital allocation, China and memory; per-share figures before the split - the 2030 financial model and capital allocation target. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 29 April 2026 · source ↗
  7. ReportedThe model assumes semiconductor industry growth of 11% a year from 2025 to 2030; service at 13% to 15% would outgrow the industry it serves, which is what a growing installed base should do.
    The Motley Fool, KLA Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call transcript - process control share, advanced packaging, the 2030 financial model, capital allocation, China and memory; per-share figures before the split - the 2030 financial model and capital allocation target. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 29 April 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedService revenue was $820.4 million in the June 2026 quarter against $702.6 million a year earlier, up 16.8%.
    KLA fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - revenue, product and service revenue, segment revenue, net income, cash flow, capital returns and September 2026 quarter guidance. — Q4 FY2026 · publ. 28 July 2026 · source ↗
  9. Moat Explorer calcService revenue was $820.4 million in the June 2026 quarter against $702.6 million a year earlier, up 16.8%.
    Moat Explorer calculation from KLA's reported figures ($ millions unless stated; fiscal years end on 30 June; per-share figures adjusted for the ten-for-one split of June 2026). Revenue growth: FY2022 9,211.9 / 6,918.7 - 1 = +33.1%; FY2023 10,496.1 / 9,211.9 - 1 = +13.9%; FY2024 9,812.2 / 10,496.1 - 1 = -6.5%, the only decline FY2015-FY2026; FY2025 12,156.2 / 9,812.2 - 1 = +23.9%; FY2026 13,579.5 / 12,156.2 - 1 = +11.7%; FY2015-FY2026 13,579.5 / 2,814.0 = 4.8 times, 15.4% a year; FY2026 against FY2023 13,579.5 / 10,496.1 - 1 = +29%. Net income FY2024 2,761.9 / 3,387.3 - 1 = -18.5%, a fall of 625.4, of which the 289.5 impairment is 46%; net margin 4,830.8 / 13,579.5 = 35.6%; Other FY2023 381.1 / 259.4 - 1 = +46.9%; gross margin 1,598.8 / 2,814.0 = 56.8% (FY2015), 2,699.5 / 4,568.9 = 59.1% (FY2019); FY2026 4,830.8 / 4,061.6 - 1 = +18.9%; FY2015-FY2026 4,830.8 / 366.2 = 13.2 times; EPS 3.66 / 0.224 = 16.3 times. Operating income (no line reported): gross profit 8,324.4 - R&D 1,532.1 - SG&A 1,131.5 = 5,660.8 (FY2026), 5,660.8 / 13,579.5 = 41.7%; interest cover 5,660.8 / 284.4 = about 20 times. Segments FY2026: Semiconductor Process Control 12,244.7 / 13,579.5 = 90.2% of revenue; segment gross profit 12,244.7 - 4,453.6 = 7,791.1, 7,791.1 / 12,244.7 = 63.6%; segment profit 5,482.8 / 12,244.7 = 44.8%; 5,482.8 / 5,655.4 = 96.9% of segment profit; Specialty Semiconductor Process 64.6 / 584.1 = 11.1%, gross 278.8 / 584.1 = 47.7% (FY2021 206.7 / 369.2 = 56.0%); PCB and Component Inspection 108.0 / 750.4 = 14.4%, gross 385.3 / 750.4 = 51.3% (FY2024 159.0 / 552.5 = 28.8%); smaller segments 64.6 + 108.0 = 172.6; SSP segment gross margin FY2022 242.5 / 456.6 = 53.1%, FY2023 281.9 / 543.4 = 51.9%, FY2024 282.9 / 528.7 = 53.5%, FY2025 303.9 / 587.1 = 51.8%; Orbotech segments revenue less product categories 1,334.5 - (502.5 + 460.3) = 371.7; process control share of research 1,341.3 / 1,532.1 = 87.5%, almost nine-tenths; SG&A 1,131.5 / 13,579.5 = 8.3%; segment revenue 584.1 + 750.4 = 1,334.5. Process control segment research 1,341.3 / 12,244.7 = 11%; segment revenue growth 12,244.7 / 10,947.4 - 1 = +11.9%; SSP products 502.5 / 584.1 = 86% of segment revenue, research 59.4 / 584.1 = 10%; PCI Q4 241.1 / 750.4 = 32% of the year; process control lines FY2019 (1,630.9 + 1,161.3) / 4,568.9 = 61.1%; patterning within process control lines 2,791.1 / (4,336.7 + 2,791.1) = 39.2% (FY2023), 2,706.8 / (6,630.8 + 2,706.8) = 29.0% (FY2026); services share FY2019 1,176.7 / 4,568.9 = 25.8%; capital spending 375.9 / 45.8 = 8.2 times; peers 656.33 + 393.13 + 383.87 = 1,433.3, 1,433.3 / 245.24 = 5.8 times; FY2015 customers 15 + 12 + 11 = 38%. Process control segment gross margin FY2018 2,554.2 / 3,944.0 = 64.8%; FY2019 2,590.4 / 4,080.8 = 63.5%; FY2020 3,028.2 / 4,745.4 = 63.8%; FY2021 3,705.2 / 5,734.8 = 64.6%; FY2022 5,167.7 / 7,924.8 = 65.2%; FY2023 5,957.6 / 9,324.2 = 63.9%; FY2024 5,629.3 / 8,733.6 = 64.5%; FY2025 7,024.6 / 10,947.4 = 64.2%. Process control revenue FY2024 8,733.6 / 9,324.2 - 1 = -6.3%. Orbotech-related goodwill impairments 256.6 + 289.5 + 239.1 = 785.2. Research: 1,532.1 / 530.6 = 2.9 times; 530.6 / 2,814.0 = 18.9% (FY2015); 526.7 / 3,480.0 = 15.1% (FY2017); 711.0 / 4,568.9 = 15.6% (FY2019); 928.5 / 6,918.7 = 13.4% (FY2021); 1,296.7 / 10,496.1 = 12.4% (FY2023); 1,279.0 / 9,812.2 = 13.0% (FY2024); 1,532.1 / 13,579.5 = 11.3% (FY2026); FY2016 481.3 against 530.6 and FY2024 1,279.0 / 1,296.7 - 1 = -1.4%; research staff 27% x 17,000 = about 4,600. Product categories (FY2019-FY2026): wafer inspection 6,630.8 / 1,630.9 = 4.1 times, 22.2% a year; FY2025 6,198.8 / 4,333.3 - 1 = +43.1%; FY2026 6,630.8 / 6,198.8 - 1 = +7.0%; share 1,630.9 / 4,568.9 = 35.7% (FY2019), 6,198.8 / 12,156.2 = 51.0% (FY2025), 6,630.8 / 13,579.5 = 48.8% (FY2026). Patterning 2,706.8 / 1,161.3 = 2.3 times, 12.9% a year; FY2022 2,050.0 / 1,506.0 - 1 = +36.1%; FY2023 2,791.1 / 2,050.0 - 1 = +36.2%; FY2024 2,054.4 / 2,791.1 - 1 = -26.4%; FY2025 2,196.3 / 2,054.4 - 1 = +6.9%; FY2026 2,706.8 / 2,196.3 - 1 = +23.2%; share 2,791.1 / 10,496.1 = 26.6% (FY2023), 2,196.3 / 12,156.2 = 18.1% (FY2025), 2,706.8 / 13,579.5 = 19.9% (FY2026); process control lines 48.8 + 19.9 = 68.7%. SSP products 502.5 / 13,579.5 = 3.7%. PCI products 460.3 / 13,579.5 = 3.4%; FY2025 355.9 / 291.2 - 1 = +22.2%; FY2026 460.3 / 355.9 - 1 = +29.3%. Services 3,125.9 / 1,176.7 = 2.7 times, (3,125.9 / 1,176.7) ^ (1/7) - 1 = 15.0% a year; growth FY2020 +25.6%, FY2021 +13.6%, FY2022 +13.8%, FY2023 +10.8%, FY2024 2,329.6 / 2,117.0 - 1 = +10.0%, FY2025 +15.2%, FY2026 3,125.9 / 2,683.3 - 1 = +16.5%; FY2024 increase 2,329.6 - 2,117.0 = 212.6; share 2,117.0 / 10,496.1 = 20.2% (FY2023), 2,329.6 / 9,812.2 = 23.7% (FY2024), 3,125.9 / 13,579.5 = 23.0% (FY2026). Product revenue FY2023 10,496.1 - 2,117.0 = 8,379.1; FY2024 fall 8,379.1 - 7,482.7 = 896.4. A one-third fall in product revenue 10,453.5 / 3 = 3,484.5 against a year of 15% service growth 3,125.9 x 0.15 = 469, less than a seventh. Other 153.1 / 381.1 - 1 = -60%; 153.1 / 13,579.5 = 1.1%; FY2024 333.2 / 381.1 - 1 = -12.6%; FY2025 204.6 / 333.2 - 1 = -38.6%; FY2026 153.1 / 204.6 - 1 = -25.2%. Deferred system and service revenue 932.9 + 604.1 + 238.1 = 1,775.1, about $1.8 billion. Unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 3,125.9 x 12 = about 7 months of service revenue. Region: Taiwan FY2024 1,738.1 / 2,493.4 - 1 = -30.3%; FY2026 against FY2024 3,643.7 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +110%; FY2025 3,205.4 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +84.4%; FY2023 2,493.4 / 2,528.5 - 1 = -1.4%. Korea FY2019 584.1 / 1,178.6 - 1 = -50%; FY2024 906.9 / 1,895.7 - 1 = -52%; share 1,178.6 / 4,036.7 = 29.2% (FY2018), 584.1 / 4,568.9 = 12.8% (FY2019), 1,895.7 / 10,496.1 = 18.1% (FY2023), 906.9 / 9,812.2 = 9.2% (FY2024), 1,833.8 / 13,579.5 = 13.5% (FY2026). China FY2025 4,042.6 / 4,196.7 - 1 = -3.7%; FY2026 4,048.4 / 4,042.6 - 1 = +0.1%; China plus Taiwan 29.8% + 26.8% = 56.6%; Q4 FY2026 China 4,048.4 - 3,091.6 = 956.7, 956.7 / 3,657.6 = 26.2%. Backlog 12,570 / 7,860 - 1 = +59.9%; 12,570 / 13,579.5 = 93% of revenue; unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 12,570 = 14% of backlog. Advanced packaging about 1,000 / 13,579.5 = about 7% of revenue. Quarter: Q4 FY2026 revenue 3,657.6 / 3,174.7 - 1 = +15.2%; 3,657.6 / 3,415.1 - 1 = +7.1%; service 820.4 / 702.6 - 1 = +16.8%; process control 3,256.8 / 2,877.6 - 1 = +13.2%; PCB and Component Inspection 241.1 / 154.1 - 1 = +56.5%; GAAP gross margin (3,657.6 - 1,413.1) / 3,657.6 = 61.4%. Guidance midpoint 4,000 / 3,209.7 - 1 = +24.6%; 4,000 / 3,657.6 - 1 = +9.4%. Consensus fiscal 2027 18,110 / 13,579.5 - 1 = +33.4%; EPS 5.45 / 3.66 - 1 = +49%. The 2030 model at 13% a year: 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 2 = 17,340 (FY2028); 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 5 = about 25,000 (FY2031). Cash and capital: free cash flow 4,143.1 - 375.9 = 3,767.1; capital returns 2,289.8 + 1,057.8 = 3,347.6, 3,347.6 / 3,767.1 = 88.9%; dividends 1,057.8 / 4,830.8 = 21.9% of net income; buybacks 2,289.8 / 1,057.8 = 2.2 times dividends; capital spending 375.9 / 13,579.5 = 2.8% of revenue; operating cash flow 3,308.6 / 2,761.9 = 120% (FY2024), 4,081.9 / 4,061.6 = 100% (FY2025), 4,143.1 / 4,830.8 = 86% (FY2026); operating cash flow growth 4,143.1 / 4,081.9 - 1 = +1.5%; net income less operating cash flow 4,830.8 - 4,143.1 = 687.7; receivables 2,889.2 / 2,263.9 - 1 = +27.6%, an increase of 625.3; inventories 3,648.5 - 3,212.1 = 436.4; together 1,061.7. FY2015 dividends paid 3,041.1 / 366.2 = 8.3 times net income. Buybacks FY2015-FY2026 602.9 + 181.7 + 25.0 + 203.2 + 1,095.2 + 829.1 + 938.6 + 3,967.8 + 1,311.9 + 1,735.7 + 2,149.9 + 2,289.8 = 15,330.8; dividends paid 3,041.1 + 346.3 + 344.0 + 402.1 + 472.3 + 522.4 + 559.4 + 638.5 + 732.6 + 773.0 + 904.6 + 1,057.8 = 9,794.1. Diluted shares 1,319.6 / 1,637.0 - 1 = -19.4%. Net debt 5,887.4 - 1,649.8 - 3,252.6 = 985.0 (FY2026); 5,884.3 - 2,078.9 - 2,415.7 = 1,389.7 (FY2025); 6,630.1 - 1,977.1 - 2,526.9 = 2,126.1 (FY2024); 985.0 / 3,767.1 = 26% of free cash flow. Return on equity 4,830.8 / ((4,692.5 + 6,349.8) / 2 = 5,521.2) = 87.5%; FY2025 4,061.6 / ((3,368.3 + 4,692.5) / 2) = 100.8%; FY2024 2,761.9 / ((2,919.8 + 3,368.3) / 2) = 87.9%. Buyback authorisation 9,740 / 245,240 = 4%; 9,740 / (0.9 x 3,767.1) = 2.9 years; 9,740 / 571.0 = 17 quarters. Valuation: market value 245,240 / 383,870 = 0.64 (Applied Materials); 656,330 / 245,240 = 2.7 (ASML); 245,240 / 14,050 = 17.5 (Onto Innovation); 393,130 / 245,240 = 1.6 (Lam Research); 245,240 / 394,116 - 1 = -38% (June to September 2026); 394,116 / 118,454 = 3.3 times (June 2025 to June 2026); price 187.92 / 307.37 - 1 = -38.9%; 187.92 / 227.35 - 1 = -17% (June buyback price); 227.35 / 187.92 = 1.21 (21% more shares); free cash flow yield 3,767.1 / 245,240 = 1.5%; research 1,532.1 / 245,240 = 0.6% of KLA market value and 1,532.1 / 14,050 = 10.9%, about a ninth, of Onto Innovation's; revenue 13,579.5 / Lam Research 23,232.7 = 58%; market value 245,240 / 393,130 = 62%; buybacks 2,289.8 / 187.92 = 12.2 million shares at the September price, 12.2 / 1,319.6 = 0.9%; authorisation 9,740 / 2,289.8 = 4.3 years at the fiscal 2026 pace; P/E 245,240 / 4,830.8 = 50.8; P/S 245,240 / 13,579.5 = 18.1. Gross margin gap 61.3% less Lam Research about 50% = about 11 points - growth rates and multiples over time. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in KLA's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, quarterly results releases, XBRL filings and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  10. Moat Explorer calcAt 23.0% of fiscal 2026 revenue, service would slip toward a fifth of the company within four years if products grew at the top of the 13% to 17% objective and service at the bottom of its own range.
    Moat Explorer calculation from KLA's reported figures ($ millions unless stated; fiscal years end on 30 June; per-share figures adjusted for the ten-for-one split of June 2026). Revenue growth: FY2022 9,211.9 / 6,918.7 - 1 = +33.1%; FY2023 10,496.1 / 9,211.9 - 1 = +13.9%; FY2024 9,812.2 / 10,496.1 - 1 = -6.5%, the only decline FY2015-FY2026; FY2025 12,156.2 / 9,812.2 - 1 = +23.9%; FY2026 13,579.5 / 12,156.2 - 1 = +11.7%; FY2015-FY2026 13,579.5 / 2,814.0 = 4.8 times, 15.4% a year; FY2026 against FY2023 13,579.5 / 10,496.1 - 1 = +29%. Net income FY2024 2,761.9 / 3,387.3 - 1 = -18.5%, a fall of 625.4, of which the 289.5 impairment is 46%; net margin 4,830.8 / 13,579.5 = 35.6%; Other FY2023 381.1 / 259.4 - 1 = +46.9%; gross margin 1,598.8 / 2,814.0 = 56.8% (FY2015), 2,699.5 / 4,568.9 = 59.1% (FY2019); FY2026 4,830.8 / 4,061.6 - 1 = +18.9%; FY2015-FY2026 4,830.8 / 366.2 = 13.2 times; EPS 3.66 / 0.224 = 16.3 times. Operating income (no line reported): gross profit 8,324.4 - R&D 1,532.1 - SG&A 1,131.5 = 5,660.8 (FY2026), 5,660.8 / 13,579.5 = 41.7%; interest cover 5,660.8 / 284.4 = about 20 times. Segments FY2026: Semiconductor Process Control 12,244.7 / 13,579.5 = 90.2% of revenue; segment gross profit 12,244.7 - 4,453.6 = 7,791.1, 7,791.1 / 12,244.7 = 63.6%; segment profit 5,482.8 / 12,244.7 = 44.8%; 5,482.8 / 5,655.4 = 96.9% of segment profit; Specialty Semiconductor Process 64.6 / 584.1 = 11.1%, gross 278.8 / 584.1 = 47.7% (FY2021 206.7 / 369.2 = 56.0%); PCB and Component Inspection 108.0 / 750.4 = 14.4%, gross 385.3 / 750.4 = 51.3% (FY2024 159.0 / 552.5 = 28.8%); smaller segments 64.6 + 108.0 = 172.6; SSP segment gross margin FY2022 242.5 / 456.6 = 53.1%, FY2023 281.9 / 543.4 = 51.9%, FY2024 282.9 / 528.7 = 53.5%, FY2025 303.9 / 587.1 = 51.8%; Orbotech segments revenue less product categories 1,334.5 - (502.5 + 460.3) = 371.7; process control share of research 1,341.3 / 1,532.1 = 87.5%, almost nine-tenths; SG&A 1,131.5 / 13,579.5 = 8.3%; segment revenue 584.1 + 750.4 = 1,334.5. Process control segment research 1,341.3 / 12,244.7 = 11%; segment revenue growth 12,244.7 / 10,947.4 - 1 = +11.9%; SSP products 502.5 / 584.1 = 86% of segment revenue, research 59.4 / 584.1 = 10%; PCI Q4 241.1 / 750.4 = 32% of the year; process control lines FY2019 (1,630.9 + 1,161.3) / 4,568.9 = 61.1%; patterning within process control lines 2,791.1 / (4,336.7 + 2,791.1) = 39.2% (FY2023), 2,706.8 / (6,630.8 + 2,706.8) = 29.0% (FY2026); services share FY2019 1,176.7 / 4,568.9 = 25.8%; capital spending 375.9 / 45.8 = 8.2 times; peers 656.33 + 393.13 + 383.87 = 1,433.3, 1,433.3 / 245.24 = 5.8 times; FY2015 customers 15 + 12 + 11 = 38%. Process control segment gross margin FY2018 2,554.2 / 3,944.0 = 64.8%; FY2019 2,590.4 / 4,080.8 = 63.5%; FY2020 3,028.2 / 4,745.4 = 63.8%; FY2021 3,705.2 / 5,734.8 = 64.6%; FY2022 5,167.7 / 7,924.8 = 65.2%; FY2023 5,957.6 / 9,324.2 = 63.9%; FY2024 5,629.3 / 8,733.6 = 64.5%; FY2025 7,024.6 / 10,947.4 = 64.2%. Process control revenue FY2024 8,733.6 / 9,324.2 - 1 = -6.3%. Orbotech-related goodwill impairments 256.6 + 289.5 + 239.1 = 785.2. Research: 1,532.1 / 530.6 = 2.9 times; 530.6 / 2,814.0 = 18.9% (FY2015); 526.7 / 3,480.0 = 15.1% (FY2017); 711.0 / 4,568.9 = 15.6% (FY2019); 928.5 / 6,918.7 = 13.4% (FY2021); 1,296.7 / 10,496.1 = 12.4% (FY2023); 1,279.0 / 9,812.2 = 13.0% (FY2024); 1,532.1 / 13,579.5 = 11.3% (FY2026); FY2016 481.3 against 530.6 and FY2024 1,279.0 / 1,296.7 - 1 = -1.4%; research staff 27% x 17,000 = about 4,600. Product categories (FY2019-FY2026): wafer inspection 6,630.8 / 1,630.9 = 4.1 times, 22.2% a year; FY2025 6,198.8 / 4,333.3 - 1 = +43.1%; FY2026 6,630.8 / 6,198.8 - 1 = +7.0%; share 1,630.9 / 4,568.9 = 35.7% (FY2019), 6,198.8 / 12,156.2 = 51.0% (FY2025), 6,630.8 / 13,579.5 = 48.8% (FY2026). Patterning 2,706.8 / 1,161.3 = 2.3 times, 12.9% a year; FY2022 2,050.0 / 1,506.0 - 1 = +36.1%; FY2023 2,791.1 / 2,050.0 - 1 = +36.2%; FY2024 2,054.4 / 2,791.1 - 1 = -26.4%; FY2025 2,196.3 / 2,054.4 - 1 = +6.9%; FY2026 2,706.8 / 2,196.3 - 1 = +23.2%; share 2,791.1 / 10,496.1 = 26.6% (FY2023), 2,196.3 / 12,156.2 = 18.1% (FY2025), 2,706.8 / 13,579.5 = 19.9% (FY2026); process control lines 48.8 + 19.9 = 68.7%. SSP products 502.5 / 13,579.5 = 3.7%. PCI products 460.3 / 13,579.5 = 3.4%; FY2025 355.9 / 291.2 - 1 = +22.2%; FY2026 460.3 / 355.9 - 1 = +29.3%. Services 3,125.9 / 1,176.7 = 2.7 times, (3,125.9 / 1,176.7) ^ (1/7) - 1 = 15.0% a year; growth FY2020 +25.6%, FY2021 +13.6%, FY2022 +13.8%, FY2023 +10.8%, FY2024 2,329.6 / 2,117.0 - 1 = +10.0%, FY2025 +15.2%, FY2026 3,125.9 / 2,683.3 - 1 = +16.5%; FY2024 increase 2,329.6 - 2,117.0 = 212.6; share 2,117.0 / 10,496.1 = 20.2% (FY2023), 2,329.6 / 9,812.2 = 23.7% (FY2024), 3,125.9 / 13,579.5 = 23.0% (FY2026). Product revenue FY2023 10,496.1 - 2,117.0 = 8,379.1; FY2024 fall 8,379.1 - 7,482.7 = 896.4. A one-third fall in product revenue 10,453.5 / 3 = 3,484.5 against a year of 15% service growth 3,125.9 x 0.15 = 469, less than a seventh. Other 153.1 / 381.1 - 1 = -60%; 153.1 / 13,579.5 = 1.1%; FY2024 333.2 / 381.1 - 1 = -12.6%; FY2025 204.6 / 333.2 - 1 = -38.6%; FY2026 153.1 / 204.6 - 1 = -25.2%. Deferred system and service revenue 932.9 + 604.1 + 238.1 = 1,775.1, about $1.8 billion. Unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 3,125.9 x 12 = about 7 months of service revenue. Region: Taiwan FY2024 1,738.1 / 2,493.4 - 1 = -30.3%; FY2026 against FY2024 3,643.7 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +110%; FY2025 3,205.4 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +84.4%; FY2023 2,493.4 / 2,528.5 - 1 = -1.4%. Korea FY2019 584.1 / 1,178.6 - 1 = -50%; FY2024 906.9 / 1,895.7 - 1 = -52%; share 1,178.6 / 4,036.7 = 29.2% (FY2018), 584.1 / 4,568.9 = 12.8% (FY2019), 1,895.7 / 10,496.1 = 18.1% (FY2023), 906.9 / 9,812.2 = 9.2% (FY2024), 1,833.8 / 13,579.5 = 13.5% (FY2026). China FY2025 4,042.6 / 4,196.7 - 1 = -3.7%; FY2026 4,048.4 / 4,042.6 - 1 = +0.1%; China plus Taiwan 29.8% + 26.8% = 56.6%; Q4 FY2026 China 4,048.4 - 3,091.6 = 956.7, 956.7 / 3,657.6 = 26.2%. Backlog 12,570 / 7,860 - 1 = +59.9%; 12,570 / 13,579.5 = 93% of revenue; unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 12,570 = 14% of backlog. Advanced packaging about 1,000 / 13,579.5 = about 7% of revenue. Quarter: Q4 FY2026 revenue 3,657.6 / 3,174.7 - 1 = +15.2%; 3,657.6 / 3,415.1 - 1 = +7.1%; service 820.4 / 702.6 - 1 = +16.8%; process control 3,256.8 / 2,877.6 - 1 = +13.2%; PCB and Component Inspection 241.1 / 154.1 - 1 = +56.5%; GAAP gross margin (3,657.6 - 1,413.1) / 3,657.6 = 61.4%. Guidance midpoint 4,000 / 3,209.7 - 1 = +24.6%; 4,000 / 3,657.6 - 1 = +9.4%. Consensus fiscal 2027 18,110 / 13,579.5 - 1 = +33.4%; EPS 5.45 / 3.66 - 1 = +49%. The 2030 model at 13% a year: 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 2 = 17,340 (FY2028); 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 5 = about 25,000 (FY2031). Cash and capital: free cash flow 4,143.1 - 375.9 = 3,767.1; capital returns 2,289.8 + 1,057.8 = 3,347.6, 3,347.6 / 3,767.1 = 88.9%; dividends 1,057.8 / 4,830.8 = 21.9% of net income; buybacks 2,289.8 / 1,057.8 = 2.2 times dividends; capital spending 375.9 / 13,579.5 = 2.8% of revenue; operating cash flow 3,308.6 / 2,761.9 = 120% (FY2024), 4,081.9 / 4,061.6 = 100% (FY2025), 4,143.1 / 4,830.8 = 86% (FY2026); operating cash flow growth 4,143.1 / 4,081.9 - 1 = +1.5%; net income less operating cash flow 4,830.8 - 4,143.1 = 687.7; receivables 2,889.2 / 2,263.9 - 1 = +27.6%, an increase of 625.3; inventories 3,648.5 - 3,212.1 = 436.4; together 1,061.7. FY2015 dividends paid 3,041.1 / 366.2 = 8.3 times net income. Buybacks FY2015-FY2026 602.9 + 181.7 + 25.0 + 203.2 + 1,095.2 + 829.1 + 938.6 + 3,967.8 + 1,311.9 + 1,735.7 + 2,149.9 + 2,289.8 = 15,330.8; dividends paid 3,041.1 + 346.3 + 344.0 + 402.1 + 472.3 + 522.4 + 559.4 + 638.5 + 732.6 + 773.0 + 904.6 + 1,057.8 = 9,794.1. Diluted shares 1,319.6 / 1,637.0 - 1 = -19.4%. Net debt 5,887.4 - 1,649.8 - 3,252.6 = 985.0 (FY2026); 5,884.3 - 2,078.9 - 2,415.7 = 1,389.7 (FY2025); 6,630.1 - 1,977.1 - 2,526.9 = 2,126.1 (FY2024); 985.0 / 3,767.1 = 26% of free cash flow. Return on equity 4,830.8 / ((4,692.5 + 6,349.8) / 2 = 5,521.2) = 87.5%; FY2025 4,061.6 / ((3,368.3 + 4,692.5) / 2) = 100.8%; FY2024 2,761.9 / ((2,919.8 + 3,368.3) / 2) = 87.9%. Buyback authorisation 9,740 / 245,240 = 4%; 9,740 / (0.9 x 3,767.1) = 2.9 years; 9,740 / 571.0 = 17 quarters. Valuation: market value 245,240 / 383,870 = 0.64 (Applied Materials); 656,330 / 245,240 = 2.7 (ASML); 245,240 / 14,050 = 17.5 (Onto Innovation); 393,130 / 245,240 = 1.6 (Lam Research); 245,240 / 394,116 - 1 = -38% (June to September 2026); 394,116 / 118,454 = 3.3 times (June 2025 to June 2026); price 187.92 / 307.37 - 1 = -38.9%; 187.92 / 227.35 - 1 = -17% (June buyback price); 227.35 / 187.92 = 1.21 (21% more shares); free cash flow yield 3,767.1 / 245,240 = 1.5%; research 1,532.1 / 245,240 = 0.6% of KLA market value and 1,532.1 / 14,050 = 10.9%, about a ninth, of Onto Innovation's; revenue 13,579.5 / Lam Research 23,232.7 = 58%; market value 245,240 / 393,130 = 62%; buybacks 2,289.8 / 187.92 = 12.2 million shares at the September price, 12.2 / 1,319.6 = 0.9%; authorisation 9,740 / 2,289.8 = 4.3 years at the fiscal 2026 pace; P/E 245,240 / 4,830.8 = 50.8; P/S 245,240 / 13,579.5 = 18.1. Gross margin gap 61.3% less Lam Research about 50% = about 11 points - growth rates and multiples over time. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in KLA's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, quarterly results releases, XBRL filings and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  11. ReportedAt 23.0% of fiscal 2026 revenue, service would slip toward a fifth of the company within four years if products grew at the top of the 13% to 17% objective and service at the bottom of its own range.
    The Motley Fool, KLA Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings call transcript - process control share, advanced packaging, the 2030 financial model, capital allocation, China and memory; per-share figures before the split - process control share, advanced packaging, China, memory and margins. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 29 April 2026 · source ↗
  12. Moat Explorer calcAt 23.0% of fiscal 2026 revenue, service would slip toward a fifth of the company within four years if products grew at the top of the 13% to 17% objective and service at the bottom of its own range.
    Moat Explorer calculation from KLA's reported figures ($ millions unless stated; fiscal years end on 30 June; per-share figures adjusted for the ten-for-one split of June 2026). Revenue growth: FY2022 9,211.9 / 6,918.7 - 1 = +33.1%; FY2023 10,496.1 / 9,211.9 - 1 = +13.9%; FY2024 9,812.2 / 10,496.1 - 1 = -6.5%, the only decline FY2015-FY2026; FY2025 12,156.2 / 9,812.2 - 1 = +23.9%; FY2026 13,579.5 / 12,156.2 - 1 = +11.7%; FY2015-FY2026 13,579.5 / 2,814.0 = 4.8 times, 15.4% a year; FY2026 against FY2023 13,579.5 / 10,496.1 - 1 = +29%. Net income FY2024 2,761.9 / 3,387.3 - 1 = -18.5%, a fall of 625.4, of which the 289.5 impairment is 46%; net margin 4,830.8 / 13,579.5 = 35.6%; Other FY2023 381.1 / 259.4 - 1 = +46.9%; gross margin 1,598.8 / 2,814.0 = 56.8% (FY2015), 2,699.5 / 4,568.9 = 59.1% (FY2019); FY2026 4,830.8 / 4,061.6 - 1 = +18.9%; FY2015-FY2026 4,830.8 / 366.2 = 13.2 times; EPS 3.66 / 0.224 = 16.3 times. Operating income (no line reported): gross profit 8,324.4 - R&D 1,532.1 - SG&A 1,131.5 = 5,660.8 (FY2026), 5,660.8 / 13,579.5 = 41.7%; interest cover 5,660.8 / 284.4 = about 20 times. Segments FY2026: Semiconductor Process Control 12,244.7 / 13,579.5 = 90.2% of revenue; segment gross profit 12,244.7 - 4,453.6 = 7,791.1, 7,791.1 / 12,244.7 = 63.6%; segment profit 5,482.8 / 12,244.7 = 44.8%; 5,482.8 / 5,655.4 = 96.9% of segment profit; Specialty Semiconductor Process 64.6 / 584.1 = 11.1%, gross 278.8 / 584.1 = 47.7% (FY2021 206.7 / 369.2 = 56.0%); PCB and Component Inspection 108.0 / 750.4 = 14.4%, gross 385.3 / 750.4 = 51.3% (FY2024 159.0 / 552.5 = 28.8%); smaller segments 64.6 + 108.0 = 172.6; SSP segment gross margin FY2022 242.5 / 456.6 = 53.1%, FY2023 281.9 / 543.4 = 51.9%, FY2024 282.9 / 528.7 = 53.5%, FY2025 303.9 / 587.1 = 51.8%; Orbotech segments revenue less product categories 1,334.5 - (502.5 + 460.3) = 371.7; process control share of research 1,341.3 / 1,532.1 = 87.5%, almost nine-tenths; SG&A 1,131.5 / 13,579.5 = 8.3%; segment revenue 584.1 + 750.4 = 1,334.5. Process control segment research 1,341.3 / 12,244.7 = 11%; segment revenue growth 12,244.7 / 10,947.4 - 1 = +11.9%; SSP products 502.5 / 584.1 = 86% of segment revenue, research 59.4 / 584.1 = 10%; PCI Q4 241.1 / 750.4 = 32% of the year; process control lines FY2019 (1,630.9 + 1,161.3) / 4,568.9 = 61.1%; patterning within process control lines 2,791.1 / (4,336.7 + 2,791.1) = 39.2% (FY2023), 2,706.8 / (6,630.8 + 2,706.8) = 29.0% (FY2026); services share FY2019 1,176.7 / 4,568.9 = 25.8%; capital spending 375.9 / 45.8 = 8.2 times; peers 656.33 + 393.13 + 383.87 = 1,433.3, 1,433.3 / 245.24 = 5.8 times; FY2015 customers 15 + 12 + 11 = 38%. Process control segment gross margin FY2018 2,554.2 / 3,944.0 = 64.8%; FY2019 2,590.4 / 4,080.8 = 63.5%; FY2020 3,028.2 / 4,745.4 = 63.8%; FY2021 3,705.2 / 5,734.8 = 64.6%; FY2022 5,167.7 / 7,924.8 = 65.2%; FY2023 5,957.6 / 9,324.2 = 63.9%; FY2024 5,629.3 / 8,733.6 = 64.5%; FY2025 7,024.6 / 10,947.4 = 64.2%. Process control revenue FY2024 8,733.6 / 9,324.2 - 1 = -6.3%. Orbotech-related goodwill impairments 256.6 + 289.5 + 239.1 = 785.2. Research: 1,532.1 / 530.6 = 2.9 times; 530.6 / 2,814.0 = 18.9% (FY2015); 526.7 / 3,480.0 = 15.1% (FY2017); 711.0 / 4,568.9 = 15.6% (FY2019); 928.5 / 6,918.7 = 13.4% (FY2021); 1,296.7 / 10,496.1 = 12.4% (FY2023); 1,279.0 / 9,812.2 = 13.0% (FY2024); 1,532.1 / 13,579.5 = 11.3% (FY2026); FY2016 481.3 against 530.6 and FY2024 1,279.0 / 1,296.7 - 1 = -1.4%; research staff 27% x 17,000 = about 4,600. Product categories (FY2019-FY2026): wafer inspection 6,630.8 / 1,630.9 = 4.1 times, 22.2% a year; FY2025 6,198.8 / 4,333.3 - 1 = +43.1%; FY2026 6,630.8 / 6,198.8 - 1 = +7.0%; share 1,630.9 / 4,568.9 = 35.7% (FY2019), 6,198.8 / 12,156.2 = 51.0% (FY2025), 6,630.8 / 13,579.5 = 48.8% (FY2026). Patterning 2,706.8 / 1,161.3 = 2.3 times, 12.9% a year; FY2022 2,050.0 / 1,506.0 - 1 = +36.1%; FY2023 2,791.1 / 2,050.0 - 1 = +36.2%; FY2024 2,054.4 / 2,791.1 - 1 = -26.4%; FY2025 2,196.3 / 2,054.4 - 1 = +6.9%; FY2026 2,706.8 / 2,196.3 - 1 = +23.2%; share 2,791.1 / 10,496.1 = 26.6% (FY2023), 2,196.3 / 12,156.2 = 18.1% (FY2025), 2,706.8 / 13,579.5 = 19.9% (FY2026); process control lines 48.8 + 19.9 = 68.7%. SSP products 502.5 / 13,579.5 = 3.7%. PCI products 460.3 / 13,579.5 = 3.4%; FY2025 355.9 / 291.2 - 1 = +22.2%; FY2026 460.3 / 355.9 - 1 = +29.3%. Services 3,125.9 / 1,176.7 = 2.7 times, (3,125.9 / 1,176.7) ^ (1/7) - 1 = 15.0% a year; growth FY2020 +25.6%, FY2021 +13.6%, FY2022 +13.8%, FY2023 +10.8%, FY2024 2,329.6 / 2,117.0 - 1 = +10.0%, FY2025 +15.2%, FY2026 3,125.9 / 2,683.3 - 1 = +16.5%; FY2024 increase 2,329.6 - 2,117.0 = 212.6; share 2,117.0 / 10,496.1 = 20.2% (FY2023), 2,329.6 / 9,812.2 = 23.7% (FY2024), 3,125.9 / 13,579.5 = 23.0% (FY2026). Product revenue FY2023 10,496.1 - 2,117.0 = 8,379.1; FY2024 fall 8,379.1 - 7,482.7 = 896.4. A one-third fall in product revenue 10,453.5 / 3 = 3,484.5 against a year of 15% service growth 3,125.9 x 0.15 = 469, less than a seventh. Other 153.1 / 381.1 - 1 = -60%; 153.1 / 13,579.5 = 1.1%; FY2024 333.2 / 381.1 - 1 = -12.6%; FY2025 204.6 / 333.2 - 1 = -38.6%; FY2026 153.1 / 204.6 - 1 = -25.2%. Deferred system and service revenue 932.9 + 604.1 + 238.1 = 1,775.1, about $1.8 billion. Unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 3,125.9 x 12 = about 7 months of service revenue. Region: Taiwan FY2024 1,738.1 / 2,493.4 - 1 = -30.3%; FY2026 against FY2024 3,643.7 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +110%; FY2025 3,205.4 / 1,738.1 - 1 = +84.4%; FY2023 2,493.4 / 2,528.5 - 1 = -1.4%. Korea FY2019 584.1 / 1,178.6 - 1 = -50%; FY2024 906.9 / 1,895.7 - 1 = -52%; share 1,178.6 / 4,036.7 = 29.2% (FY2018), 584.1 / 4,568.9 = 12.8% (FY2019), 1,895.7 / 10,496.1 = 18.1% (FY2023), 906.9 / 9,812.2 = 9.2% (FY2024), 1,833.8 / 13,579.5 = 13.5% (FY2026). China FY2025 4,042.6 / 4,196.7 - 1 = -3.7%; FY2026 4,048.4 / 4,042.6 - 1 = +0.1%; China plus Taiwan 29.8% + 26.8% = 56.6%; Q4 FY2026 China 4,048.4 - 3,091.6 = 956.7, 956.7 / 3,657.6 = 26.2%. Backlog 12,570 / 7,860 - 1 = +59.9%; 12,570 / 13,579.5 = 93% of revenue; unrecognised contract price 1,775.1 / 12,570 = 14% of backlog. Advanced packaging about 1,000 / 13,579.5 = about 7% of revenue. Quarter: Q4 FY2026 revenue 3,657.6 / 3,174.7 - 1 = +15.2%; 3,657.6 / 3,415.1 - 1 = +7.1%; service 820.4 / 702.6 - 1 = +16.8%; process control 3,256.8 / 2,877.6 - 1 = +13.2%; PCB and Component Inspection 241.1 / 154.1 - 1 = +56.5%; GAAP gross margin (3,657.6 - 1,413.1) / 3,657.6 = 61.4%. Guidance midpoint 4,000 / 3,209.7 - 1 = +24.6%; 4,000 / 3,657.6 - 1 = +9.4%. Consensus fiscal 2027 18,110 / 13,579.5 - 1 = +33.4%; EPS 5.45 / 3.66 - 1 = +49%. The 2030 model at 13% a year: 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 2 = 17,340 (FY2028); 13,579.5 x 1.13 ^ 5 = about 25,000 (FY2031). Cash and capital: free cash flow 4,143.1 - 375.9 = 3,767.1; capital returns 2,289.8 + 1,057.8 = 3,347.6, 3,347.6 / 3,767.1 = 88.9%; dividends 1,057.8 / 4,830.8 = 21.9% of net income; buybacks 2,289.8 / 1,057.8 = 2.2 times dividends; capital spending 375.9 / 13,579.5 = 2.8% of revenue; operating cash flow 3,308.6 / 2,761.9 = 120% (FY2024), 4,081.9 / 4,061.6 = 100% (FY2025), 4,143.1 / 4,830.8 = 86% (FY2026); operating cash flow growth 4,143.1 / 4,081.9 - 1 = +1.5%; net income less operating cash flow 4,830.8 - 4,143.1 = 687.7; receivables 2,889.2 / 2,263.9 - 1 = +27.6%, an increase of 625.3; inventories 3,648.5 - 3,212.1 = 436.4; together 1,061.7. FY2015 dividends paid 3,041.1 / 366.2 = 8.3 times net income. Buybacks FY2015-FY2026 602.9 + 181.7 + 25.0 + 203.2 + 1,095.2 + 829.1 + 938.6 + 3,967.8 + 1,311.9 + 1,735.7 + 2,149.9 + 2,289.8 = 15,330.8; dividends paid 3,041.1 + 346.3 + 344.0 + 402.1 + 472.3 + 522.4 + 559.4 + 638.5 + 732.6 + 773.0 + 904.6 + 1,057.8 = 9,794.1. Diluted shares 1,319.6 / 1,637.0 - 1 = -19.4%. Net debt 5,887.4 - 1,649.8 - 3,252.6 = 985.0 (FY2026); 5,884.3 - 2,078.9 - 2,415.7 = 1,389.7 (FY2025); 6,630.1 - 1,977.1 - 2,526.9 = 2,126.1 (FY2024); 985.0 / 3,767.1 = 26% of free cash flow. Return on equity 4,830.8 / ((4,692.5 + 6,349.8) / 2 = 5,521.2) = 87.5%; FY2025 4,061.6 / ((3,368.3 + 4,692.5) / 2) = 100.8%; FY2024 2,761.9 / ((2,919.8 + 3,368.3) / 2) = 87.9%. Buyback authorisation 9,740 / 245,240 = 4%; 9,740 / (0.9 x 3,767.1) = 2.9 years; 9,740 / 571.0 = 17 quarters. Valuation: market value 245,240 / 383,870 = 0.64 (Applied Materials); 656,330 / 245,240 = 2.7 (ASML); 245,240 / 14,050 = 17.5 (Onto Innovation); 393,130 / 245,240 = 1.6 (Lam Research); 245,240 / 394,116 - 1 = -38% (June to September 2026); 394,116 / 118,454 = 3.3 times (June 2025 to June 2026); price 187.92 / 307.37 - 1 = -38.9%; 187.92 / 227.35 - 1 = -17% (June buyback price); 227.35 / 187.92 = 1.21 (21% more shares); free cash flow yield 3,767.1 / 245,240 = 1.5%; research 1,532.1 / 245,240 = 0.6% of KLA market value and 1,532.1 / 14,050 = 10.9%, about a ninth, of Onto Innovation's; revenue 13,579.5 / Lam Research 23,232.7 = 58%; market value 245,240 / 393,130 = 62%; buybacks 2,289.8 / 187.92 = 12.2 million shares at the September price, 12.2 / 1,319.6 = 0.9%; authorisation 9,740 / 2,289.8 = 4.3 years at the fiscal 2026 pace; P/E 245,240 / 4,830.8 = 50.8; P/S 245,240 / 13,579.5 = 18.1. Gross margin gap 61.3% less Lam Research about 50% = about 11 points - growth rates and multiples over time. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in KLA's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, quarterly results releases, XBRL filings and market data; operands shown in the source line.
Sources
Generated September 28, 2026