LVMHWide moat
MC — overall economic moat
LVMH sells desire, organized as a conglomerate. Its 75 maisons — Louis Vuitton, Dior, Tiffany, Bulgari, Moët, Hennessy, Sephora, and seventy shades less famous — each guard a heritage measured in generations, and the group's business model is the disciplined rental of that heritage: buy houses no one can recreate, fund them lavishly, elevate their prices, and never, ever discount. The holding company provides capital, real estate, talent and negotiating muscle; the maisons provide the only thing that cannot be manufactured — time.
The money map for 2025: €80.8 billion of revenue and €10.9 billion of net profit, both down from the 2023 peaks as the China-led luxury slowdown wore on1. Fashion & Leather Goods — the handbag empire of Vuitton and Dior — billed €38.2 billion, nearly half the group and well more than half its profit; Louis Vuitton alone is estimated near €20 billion2. Selective Retailing (Sephora and DFS) added €18.5 billion, Watches & Jewelry €10.4 billion, Perfumes & Cosmetics €8.1 billion, and Wines & Spirits about €5.6 billion. One brand of leather goods, in other words, out-earns entire industries the group also happens to own.
The economics follow from a single discipline: price is never used to sell. A maison's margin expands with its mystique — Vuitton's operating margins are the envy of consumer business — and when demand softens, LVMH cuts production, not prices, accepting lost revenue to protect the one asset that matters. That is why the current downturn reads as it does: sales fell, margins compressed, and desirability — the thing the model actually compounds — stayed intact. The first half of 2026 hints the winter is thawing: €38.6 billion of revenue with organic growth back to positive and the second quarter accelerating3.
The market, which paid over fifty times earnings for this machine in the euphoric years, now grades it at about eighteen times4 — a fortress multiple, not a growth one. Whether that is the bargain of the decade or the new normal is the question the rest of these pages work through: The Moat weighs the brands, the pricing power, the portfolio machine and the distribution grip; the Future Bets follow Vuitton into beauty, the group into Formula 1, Tiffany through its rebuild, and the maisons into hotels — the rooms where the next decade of desire is being furnished. Each of the five business groups is taken in turn in The Revenue Lines.
Fashion & Leather Goods (€38.2B) is nearly half the group and well over half its profit — Louis Vuitton alone estimated near €20B — with Sephora/DFS (€18.5B), jewelry (€10.4B), beauty (€8.1B) and drinks (~€5.6B) around it. Watch the F&LG organic line above all: the group's earnings power is one division's desirability, and H1 2026's return to growth is the thaw to confirm.
Source: LVMH FY2025 annual results ↗Irreplaceable heritage brands with genuine Veblen pricing power; cyclical, China-dependent demand is the swing factor.
- ReportedFY2025: revenue €80.8B and net profit €10.9B, both down from the 2023 peaks on the China-led slowdown.LVMH FY2025 annual results — revenue ~€80.8B, group share of net profit ~€10.9B, both down from the 2023 peaks on the China-led luxury slowdown — FY2025 · publ. January 2026 · source ↗
- Third-party estimateLouis Vuitton alone is estimated near €20B of revenue — LVMH discloses no per-maison figures.Third-party analyst estimates of Louis Vuitton revenue (~€20B) — LVMH does not disclose per-maison figures — 2024-2025 · source ↗
- ReportedH1 2026: €38.6B of revenue with organic growth back positive and Q2 accelerating.LVMH H1 2026 interim results — revenue €38.6B, profit from recurring operations €8.7B (−4%), group share of net profit €5.7B — H1 2026 · publ. July 2026 · source ↗
- Third-party estimateThe market grades the machine at about eighteen times earnings after two soft years.Market data (stockanalysis.com) - LVMH at €398.20 a share, market value about €198.2 billion, about 18.3 times trailing earnings and 17.0 times forward, dividend yield 3.27%, September 2026 — September 2026 · source ↗