The Markets FranchiseWide moat

Goldman Sachs (GS) — moat facet

Goldman's trading floor is a dealer franchise with a rent roll attached, and the rent roll is growing faster than the trading.

Goldman's moat starts on the trading floor, and the floor has become more valuable, not less. Global Banking & Markets, the segment that holds trading, financing and investment banking, earned net revenues of $41,453 million and pre-tax earnings of $17,574 million in 2025, against $29,994 million and $11,000 million in 2023 on the restated basis1. Its return on equity was 16.4% in 20252.

Global Banking & Markets pre-tax earnings ($M)11,000202314,529202417,5742025Goldman Sachs Form 10-K FY2025, restated segment basis
Pre-tax earnings up 60% in two years.

Trading is most of it. FICC earned $14,522 million and equities $16,535 million in 20253. Within those, financing, the lending to hedge funds and institutions, is the half that behaves like an annuity: record financing revenue of $11.4 billion was 37% of combined trading revenue4.

The advantages are the ordinary ones of scale in a business where scale is rare. A dealer needs capital to take the other side of large trades, risk systems to hedge them, and clients who send the flow. Goldman ranked in the top three with 123 of the top 150 trading clients in the first half of 2025, against 77 in 20195. The more of a client's business a dealer sees, the better it can price the next trade and the more it can lend against the positions.

The latest quarter showed the franchise at full stretch. The segment earned $15,520 million of revenue and $7,499 million of pre-tax earnings in the second quarter of 2026, a return on equity of 27.5%67. Equities revenue rose 72%8.

The moat is wide in its client list and narrow in its revenue stability. The flow business averaged $17.6 billion a year from 2021 to 2025 without a trend9, so the growth has come from financing and from share.

The first half of 2026 shows the balance of the desk. Equities earned $12,742 million, against $8,493 million a year earlier, and FICC $8,603 million, against $7,922 million10. Equities financing alone rose to $5,867 million from $3,351 million11. The growth came from the business of lending to funds rather than from trading bonds.

The segment's second-quarter pre-tax earnings of $7,499 million compared with $4,075 million a year earlier12, a rise of about 84%13 on revenue up 53%14. Operating leverage works this way in a boom and the same way in reverse.

Segment return on equity settles the argument. It was 16.4% for 202515; a year back under 12% in a normal market would mean the gains had been borrowed from a good cycle.

Moat trajectory: Widening

Segment pre-tax earnings $11.0bn (2023) to $17.6bn (2025).

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Global Banking & Markets pre-tax earnings, latest quarter
$7,499M (Q2 2026) vs $4,075M a year earlier

The profit of the trading and banking franchise; a year-on-year fall in an active market would mean share had slipped.

Source: Goldman Sachs Form 10-Q, Q2 2026 ↗
Aspects of the moat
DIG DEEPER 01
Equities: $16.5 Billion and a Record
Goldman's equities desk is now its biggest line, and the record in the latest quarter came from both trading and lending to the funds that trade.
DIG DEEPER 02
Financing: The Part That Pays Rent
Goldman turned hedge-fund lending into a rent roll, and it has grown every year while trading revenue went up and down.
DIG DEEPER 03
123 of the Top 150 Clients
Goldman now sits in the top three for 123 of the 150 biggest trading clients, up from 77 in 2019, and that list is where the money is.
DIG DEEPER 04
FICC: The Older Desk
Goldman's old bond desk still earns $14.5 billion, but the growth now comes from lending against bonds rather than trading them.
⚠ Threats to the moat
⚠ THREAT 01
Trading Revenue Is a Market, Not an Annuity
The last time Goldman's markets cooled, its revenue fell a fifth and its profit nearly halved.
⚠ THREAT 02
A Balance Sheet Growing Faster Than Its Equity
Goldman's assets grew by more than a quarter in eighteen months while its equity stood still.
References
  1. ReportedGlobal Banking & Markets, the segment that holds trading, financing and investment banking, earned net revenues of $41,453 million and pre-tax earnings of $17,574 million in 2025, against $29,994 million and $11,000 million in 2023 on the restated basis.
    Goldman Sachs Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - segment results on the basis restated in the fourth quarter of 2025: net revenues by line, pre-tax earnings, return on equity, average common equity, loans and assets by segment for 2023-2025 - Global Banking & Markets segment results. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  2. ReportedIts return on equity was 16.4% in 2025.
    Goldman Sachs Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - segment results on the basis restated in the fourth quarter of 2025: net revenues by line, pre-tax earnings, return on equity, average common equity, loans and assets by segment for 2023-2025 - Global Banking & Markets segment results. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  3. ReportedFICC earned $14,522 million and equities $16,535 million in 2025.
    Goldman Sachs Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - segment results on the basis restated in the fourth quarter of 2025: net revenues by line, pre-tax earnings, return on equity, average common equity, loans and assets by segment for 2023-2025 - Global Banking & Markets segment results. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
  4. ReportedWithin those, financing, the lending to hedge funds and institutions, is the half that behaves like an annuity: record financing revenue of $11.4 billion was 37% of combined trading revenue.
    Goldman Sachs fourth-quarter 2025 earnings presentation and strategy update, Form 8-K exhibit 99.2 - Global Banking & Markets: league tables, wallet share, clients, financing and intermediation. — FY2025 · publ. 15 January 2026 · source ↗
  5. ReportedGoldman ranked in the top three with 123 of the top 150 trading clients in the first half of 2025, against 77 in 2019.
    Goldman Sachs fourth-quarter 2025 earnings presentation and strategy update, Form 8-K exhibit 99.2 - league tables, wallet share and client rankings. — FY2025 · publ. 15 January 2026 · source ↗
  6. ReportedThe segment earned $15,520 million of revenue and $7,499 million of pre-tax earnings in the second quarter of 2026, a return on equity of 27.5%.
    Goldman Sachs second-quarter 2026 earnings results, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment and line revenues for the quarter and half, earnings, balance sheet, capital, VaR, assets under supervision and the dividend increase - balance sheet, capital, risk, provisions, headcount and capital returned. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  7. ReportedThe segment earned $15,520 million of revenue and $7,499 million of pre-tax earnings in the second quarter of 2026, a return on equity of 27.5%.
    Goldman Sachs Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 - segment pre-tax earnings and ROE, capital ratios and requirements, investment banking backlog, and the Industry Ventures and Innovator acquisitions. — Q2 2026 · publ. 3 August 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedEquities revenue rose 72%.
    Goldman Sachs second-quarter 2026 earnings results, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment and line revenues for the quarter and half, earnings, balance sheet, capital, VaR, assets under supervision and the dividend increase - Global Banking & Markets revenue by line for the quarter and half. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedThe flow business averaged $17.6 billion a year from 2021 to 2025 without a trend, so the growth has come from financing and from share.
    Goldman Sachs fourth-quarter 2025 earnings presentation and strategy update, Form 8-K exhibit 99.2 - Global Banking & Markets: league tables, wallet share, clients, financing and intermediation. — FY2025 · publ. 15 January 2026 · source ↗
  10. ReportedEquities earned $12,742 million, against $8,493 million a year earlier, and FICC $8,603 million, against $7,922 million.
    Goldman Sachs second-quarter 2026 earnings results, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment and line revenues for the quarter and half, earnings, balance sheet, capital, VaR, assets under supervision and the dividend increase - Global Banking & Markets revenue by line for the quarter and half. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  11. ReportedEquities financing alone rose to $5,867 million from $3,351 million.
    Goldman Sachs second-quarter 2026 earnings results, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment and line revenues for the quarter and half, earnings, balance sheet, capital, VaR, assets under supervision and the dividend increase - Global Banking & Markets revenue by line for the quarter and half. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  12. ReportedThe segment's second-quarter pre-tax earnings of $7,499 million compared with $4,075 million a year earlier, a rise of about 84% on revenue up 53%.
    Goldman Sachs Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 - segment pre-tax earnings and ROE, capital ratios and requirements, investment banking backlog, and the Industry Ventures and Innovator acquisitions. — Q2 2026 · publ. 3 August 2026 · source ↗
  13. Moat Explorer calcThe segment's second-quarter pre-tax earnings of $7,499 million compared with $4,075 million a year earlier, a rise of about 84% on revenue up 53%.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Goldman Sachs' reported figures ($ millions unless stated; calendar years). Growth: net revenues 2025 58,283 / 53,512 - 1 = 8.9%, about 9%; 2022 47,365 / 59,339 - 1 = -20.2%; net earnings 2022 11,261 / 21,635 - 1 = -47.9%, nearly half; pre-tax earnings 21,852 / 10,739 = 2.03 times, about double; compensation 18,906 / 16,706 - 1 = 13.2%; total operating expenses 37,544 / 33,767 - 1 = 11.2%; preferred dividends 876 / 751 - 1 = 16.6%; CEO pay 47 / 39 - 1 = 20.5%; equities 16,535 / 11,549 - 1 = 43.2%; FICC 14,522 / 12,150 - 1 = 19.5%; FICC intermediation 10,271 / 9,318 - 1 = 10.2%; FICC financing 4,251 / 2,832 - 1 = 50.1%; Global Banking & Markets 41,453 / 29,994 - 1 = 38.2%; GBM pre-tax 17,574 / 11,000 - 1 = 59.8%; advisory 4,726 / 3,299 - 1 = 43.3%; underwriting (1,784 + 2,829) / (1,153 + 1,763) = 4,613 / 2,916 - 1 = 58.2%; investment banking fees 9,339 / 6,215 - 1 = 50.3%; 9,339 - 6,215 = 3,124, about $3.1 billion; Q2 2026 pace 3,395 x 4 = 13,580, 13,580 / 9,339 = 1.45; financing 11.45 / 6.03 = 1.90, close to double; intermediation best/worst 19.6 / 15.8 = 1.24; equity underwriting Q2 985 / 428 - 1 = 130%; H1 2026 equities 12,742 / 8,493 - 1 = 50%. Assets under supervision: 4,041 / 3,606 - 1 = 12.1% (six months); 3,606 / 3,137 - 1 = 15.0%; Q2 2026 rise 4,041 - 3,650 = 391 = inflows 230 + appreciation 161; management and other fees 11,538 / 10,415 - 1 = 10.8%; historical principal investments 9.4 - 6.0 = 3.4 billion; alternatives target 750 - 459 = 291 billion, 291 / 4.5 = 64.7, about 65 a year; 291 x 0.58% = 1.69 billion, about 1.7 billion; Shell mandate 40 / 4,041 = 1.0%; AWM ROE 12.5 + 2.3 = 14.8, near 15%. Shares of revenue: GBM 15,520 / 20,338 = 76.3% (Q2 2026), 41,453 / 58,283 = 71.1% (2025), 29,994 / 46,254 = 64.8% (2023); AWM 16,679 / 58,283 = 28.6% (2025), 16,316 / 53,512 = 30.5% (2024), 14,202 / 46,254 = 30.7% (2023), 4,597 / 20,338 = 22.6% (Q2 2026); equities 7,416 / 15,520 = 47.8% of the segment in Q2 2026; advisory 4,726 / 58,283 = 8.1%; GBM pre-tax 17,574 / 21,852 = 80.4%; FICC plus equities 14,522 + 16,535 = 31,057; Q2 2026 financing 1,216 + 3,259 = 4,475; durable revenues 26.3 / 58.283 = 45.1% (2025), 12.2 / 36.546 = 33.4% (2019); GBM assets 1,582,670 / 1,809,320 = 87.5%; brokered and sweep deposits (47 + 34) / 501 = 16.2%; compensation 18,906 / 37,544 = 50.4% of operating expenses; preferred dividends 876 / 17,176 = 5.1% of net earnings; financing against alternatives fees 11.45 / 2.37 = 4.8, about five times. Margins: GBM pre-tax margin 17,574 / 41,453 = 42.4% (2025), 11,000 / 29,994 = 36.7% (2023); AWM 4,127 / 16,679 = 24.7% (2025), 4,865 / 16,316 = 29.8% (2024), 1,763 / 14,202 = 12.4% (2023). Balance sheet and capital: total assets 2,128 / 1,675.972 - 1 = 27.0% (end-2024 to June 2026); equity 121,996 to about 123,000, almost unchanged; deposits 558 / 433 - 1 = 28.9%, about 29%; loans to deposits 261 / 558 = 46.8%, about 47%; JPMorgan deposits 2,559,320 / 501,000 = 5.1 times; CET1 headroom 12.9 - 11.4 = 1.5 points, about 150 basis points; a repeat of the first-half fall 12.9 - (14.3 - 12.9) = 11.5%; basic shares 298.4 / 322.9 - 1 = -7.6%, about 8% fewer; TBVPS 335.49 / 316.02 - 1 = 6.2%; buyback price 935.45 / 984.57 - 1 = -5.0%; first-half ROE 21.7 - 1.7 = 20.0%; Platform Solutions pre-tax losses 783 + 1,047 + 1,989 + 2,175 + 1,075 = 7,069, about $7.1 billion. Valuation: trailing twelve months to June 2026 net revenues 58,283 - 29,645 + 37,565 = 66,203; net earnings 17,176 - 8,461 + 12,258 = 20,973; diluted EPS 51.32 - 25.07 + 38.51 = 64.76; P/E 283,220 / 20,973 = 13.5; P/S 283,220 / 66,203 = 4.28; year-end P/E 263.64 / 17.176 = 15.35 (2025), 179.75 / 14.276 = 12.59 (2024), 125.80 / 8.516 = 14.77 (2023), 128.08 / 21.635 = 5.92 (2021); 52-week high 935.45 / 1,153.99 - 1 = -18.9%, about 19% below; Morgan Stanley gap 308.32 - 283.22 = 25.1 billion; market value on basic shares 298.4 x 935.45 = 279.1 billion. Further: Platform Solutions provisions against revenue (old basis) 1,728 / 1,502 = 115% (2022), 1,135 / 2,378 = 47.7%, about 48% (2023), 1,540 / 2,427 = 63.5%, about 63% (2024); 2021 to 2022 revenue fall 59,339 - 47,365 = 11,974, about $12 billion; Q2 2026 equities less Q1 7,416 - 5,326 = 2,090; AWM revenue 2025 16,679 / 16,316 - 1 = 2.2%; liquidity products 1,065 / 4,041 = 26.4%, about a quarter; AUS year on year 4,041 / 3,293 - 1 = 22.7%, about 23%; alternatives 459 / 2,976 = 15.4% of long-term AUS; private banking and lending H1 2026 638 + 689 = 1,327, x 2 = 2,654, near $2.7 billion; VaR factors before diversification 82 + 65 + 19 + 30 = 196; GBM Q1 2026 12,738 / 17,227 = 73.9%, about 74%; transaction banking and private bank deposits (70 + 101) / 501 = 34.1%, about a third; GBM assets share 87.5%, nearly nine-tenths; EMEA 2025 14,155 / 12,250 - 1 = 15.6%, about 16%; unsecured long-term borrowings 285,500 / 242,634 - 1 = 17.7%, about 18%; JPMorgan deposits 2,559,320 / 2,406,032 - 1 = 6.4%; Goldman deposits 501 / 433 - 1 = 15.7%, about 16%; H1 2026 financing 2,278 + 5,867 = 8,145; Q2 2026 compensation 6,104 / 4,685 - 1 = 30.3%; diluted shares 321.4 / 306.5 - 1 = 4.9%, about 5%; advisory 2025 4,726 / 3,534 - 1 = 33.7%, about 34%; underwriting 2025 (1,784 + 2,829) / (1,677 + 2,521) = 4,613 / 4,198 - 1 = 9.9%, about 10%; debt share of underwriting 2,829 / 4,613 = 61.3%, about three-fifths; wealth channel 1,041 / 862 - 1 = 20.8%, about 21%; CET1 ratio 101,657 / 790,640 = 12.86%; 101,657 / 800,640 = 12.70%, so 10 billion of RWAs costs about 16 basis points; GBM pre-tax Q2 2026 7,499 / 4,075 - 1 = 84.0%; market value 2025 263.64 / 179.75 - 1 = 46.7% - Global Banking & Markets arithmetic: growth rates, revenue shares and margins. — FY2019-Q2 2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Goldman Sachs' Forms 10-K and 10-Q, its earnings releases and presentations, JPMorgan's Form 10-K and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  14. ReportedThe segment's second-quarter pre-tax earnings of $7,499 million compared with $4,075 million a year earlier, a rise of about 84% on revenue up 53%.
    Goldman Sachs second-quarter 2026 earnings results, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - segment and line revenues for the quarter and half, earnings, balance sheet, capital, VaR, assets under supervision and the dividend increase - balance sheet, capital, risk, provisions, headcount and capital returned. — Q2 2026 · publ. 14 July 2026 · source ↗
  15. ReportedIt was 16.4% for 2025; a year back under 12% in a normal market would mean the gains had been borrowed from a good cycle.
    Goldman Sachs Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - segment results on the basis restated in the fourth quarter of 2025: net revenues by line, pre-tax earnings, return on equity, average common equity, loans and assets by segment for 2023-2025 - Global Banking & Markets segment results. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 25 February 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 28, 2026