⚠ A Record Cycle at 40 Times EarningsModerate threat

Applied Materials (AMAT) — threat to the moat

Applied trades at 40 times earnings near the top of a record equipment cycle, after falling a third from its June high.

Applied's shares now assume the boom continues. At $474.25 on 24 September 2026 the company was worth $376.36 billion1, about 40.6 times trailing earnings and 12.2 times trailing revenue2. At the end of fiscal 2023 the multiple was 16.023.

P/E at fiscal year end21.0FY202111.8FY202216.0FY202321.4FY202426.0FY202540.9Sep 2026stockanalysis fiscal-year ratios and statistics
The multiple has more than tripled from its 2022 low.

The price has already shown how fast sentiment can turn. The highest close was $723.00 on 30 June 20264; the shares are about 34.4% below it5. After the record third quarter they fell from $534.54 to $507.18 in a day6.

The business is cyclical, and the last down year was not long ago: revenue fell 12.6% in fiscal 20197. Applied gives guidance one quarter at a time8, so investors have no longer view from the company.

The multiple leaves little room. Forward earnings put it at 26.95 times9, which assumes the fourth quarter's non-GAAP earnings of about $4.02 a share10 are sustained and grown.

The price has already shown how violent the swings can be. In the last days of July 2026 the shares fell 3.61%, 7.82% and 8.40% on consecutive days, then rose 14.97%11. The 52-week range was $196.20 to $739.6712. A stock with a beta of 1.6013 moves further than the market in both directions, and a turn in the equipment cycle would be felt first in the price.

Other valuation measures say the same. Enterprise value was 36.88 times EBITDA and the shares 14.69 times book value in September 202614. At the end of fiscal 2022, the last trough, the price-to-sales ratio was 2.9915; it was 12.20 in September 202616. The difference is the market's confidence that this cycle is different.

The threat is not that Applied is a poor business but that the price assumes too good a year. What to watch is the forward multiple: if earnings fall and the stock does not, the market will be paying well over 30 times trough profits.

The number that tests this threat
Moat Explorer calc
Trailing P/E
40.6 (24 Sep 2026: $376.36bn over $9,267M trailing net income)

What the market pays for peak earnings; a multiple held above 30 while earnings fall would mean paying up for a trough.

How it's calculated: Market value $376.36bn divided by trailing twelve-month net income $9,267M (Q4 FY2025 $1,897M plus nine months FY2026 $7,370M).
Source: Moat Explorer calculation from Applied Materials filings ↗
References
  1. ReportedAt $474.25 on 24 September 2026 the company was worth $376.36 billion, about 40.6 times trailing earnings and 12.2 times trailing revenue.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) market data - $474.25 at the close on 24 September 2026, market cap $376.36B, trailing P/E 40.91, 52-week range $196.20-$739.67, 39 analysts. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  2. Moat Explorer calcAt $474.25 on 24 September 2026 the company was worth $376.36 billion, about 40.6 times trailing earnings and 12.2 times trailing revenue.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Applied Materials' reported figures ($ millions unless stated). Segment shares FY2025: Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 28,368 = 73.3%; Applied Global Services 6,385 / 28,368 = 22.5%; Corporate and Other 1,185 / 28,368 = 4.2%. Segment operating margins FY2025: 7,379 / 20,798 = 35.5%; 1,792 / 6,385 = 28.1%; FY2024 6,981 / 19,911 = 35.1%, 1,812 / 6,225 = 29.1%; FY2023 6,879 / 19,698 = 34.9%, 1,529 / 5,732 = 26.7%. Q3 FY2026 margins: Semiconductor Systems 2,657 / 7,040 = 37.7%; Applied Global Services 536 / 1,781 = 30.1%; company operating margin 3,075 / 9,115 = 33.7%. Q1 FY2026 Semiconductor Systems 1,427 / 5,141 = 27.8%. Nine months FY2026 6,176 / 18,146 = 34.0% and 1,461 / 5,005 = 29.2%. Growth Q3 FY2026: Semiconductor Systems 7,040 / 5,564 - 1 = 26.5% year on year and 7,040 / 5,965 - 1 = 18.0% on the quarter; Applied Global Services 1,781 / 1,463 - 1 = 21.7%; revenue 9,115 / 7,910 - 1 = 15.2% on the quarter; United States revenue 1,367 / 683 - 1 = 100%; Europe 483 / 160 = 3.0 times. Nine months: 18,146 / 16,562 - 1 = 9.6%; 5,005 / 4,236 - 1 = 18.2%. Segment history, revenue: Semiconductor Systems 11,367 (FY2020), 16,286, 18,797, 19,698, 19,911, 20,798 (FY2025), compound growth (20,798 / 11,367)^(1/5) - 1 = 12.8% a year; Applied Global Services 4,155, 5,013, 5,543, 5,732, 6,225, 6,385, compound growth (6,385 / 4,155)^(1/5) - 1 = 9.0% a year, 6,385 / 5,732 - 1 = 11.4% over two years; Corporate and Other including Display 1,607 + 73 = 1,680 (FY2020), 1,634 + 130 = 1,764 (FY2021), 1,331 + 114 = 1,445 (FY2022), 868 + 219 = 1,087, 885 + 155 = 1,040, 1,185 (FY2025); 1,185 / 1,680 - 1 = -29%. Display operating margin 235 / 1,060 = 22% (FY2025) and 51 / 885 = 6% (FY2024). DRAM equipment 26% x 20,798 = about 5,400; flash 7% x 20,798 = about 1,460. Company margins: gross 13,808 / 28,368 = 48.7% (FY2025), 12,897 / 27,176 = 47.5% (FY2024), 12,384 / 26,517 = 46.7% (FY2023); operating 8,289 / 28,368 = 29.2%. R&D 3,570 / 28,368 = 12.6%; 3,570 / 1,451 = 2.5 times (FY2015-FY2025). Effective tax 2,273 / 9,271 = 24.5% (FY2025) and 975 / 8,152 = 12.0% (FY2024). Revenue FY2019 14,608 / 16,705 - 1 = -12.6%. Diluted shares 808 / 1,226 - 1 = -34%. Revenue outside the United States 25,305 / 28,368 = 89%. China share of revenue: 5,456 / 17,202 = 31.7% (FY2020); 7,535 / 23,063 = 32.7%; 7,254 / 25,785 = 28.1%; 7,247 / 26,517 = 27.3%; 10,117 / 27,176 = 37.2% (FY2024); 8,529 / 28,368 = 30.1% (FY2025). Taiwan 6,857 / 4,010 - 1 = 71%. Two largest customers 19% + 15% = 34% (FY2025) and 20% + 14% = 34% (nine months FY2026). Backlog: 15,002 / 19,011 - 1 = -21% (October 2022 to October 2025); Semiconductor Systems 7,105 / 12,691 - 1 = -44%; Applied Global Services 7,141 / 5,643 - 1 = +27%; shares of backlog 7,141 / 15,002 = 48% and 7,105 / 15,002 = 47%. Contract liabilities 3,271 / 2,566 - 1 = +27%; receivables 7,691 / 5,185 - 1 = +48%. Cash: net cash 7,241 + 1,332 - 100 - 6,455 = 2,018 (October 2025); 8,022 + 1,449 - 799 - 5,460 = 3,212 (October 2024); 7,037 + 2,196 - 1,299 - 5,245 = 2,689 (July 2026). Payout 1,384 / 6,998 = 19.8%; dividends plus buybacks 1,384 + 4,893 = 6,277, 6,277 / 7,958 = 79% of operating cash flow. ROE 6,998 / ((20,415 + 19,001) / 2) = 35.5% (FY2025), 40.6% (FY2024), 48.0% (FY2023). Trailing twelve months to July 2026: revenue 6,800 + 24,037 = 30,837; net income 1,897 + 7,370 = 9,267; operating cash flow 2,828 + 5,568 = 8,396; capital expenditure 785 + 1,988 = 2,773. Implied FY2026 revenue at the guidance midpoint 24,037 + 10,250 = 34,287, 34,287 / 28,368 - 1 = 20.9%; fourth-quarter midpoint 10,250 / 6,800 - 1 = 50.7%; implied non-GAAP EPS 8.73 + 4.02 = 12.75. Market: 376,360 / 9,267 = 40.6 times trailing earnings; 376,360 / 30,837 = 12.2 times sales; price 474.25 / 723.00 - 1 = -34.4%; Lam Research 384.36 - 376.36 = 8.00 bn more market value. ASML 662.45 / 376.36 = 1.8 times; KLA 246.05 / 376.36 = 0.65. Calendar year-end 2025 P/E 203,780 / 6,998 = 29.1; fiscal year-end P/E 40.91 / 11.83 = 3.5 times the FY2022 low. Other: services growth FY2025 6,385 / 6,225 - 1 = 2.6%; company revenue 28,368 / 27,176 - 1 = 4.4%; dividends 1,384 / 7,958 = 17.4% of operating cash flow; two largest customers FY2024 12% + 11% = 23%; Korea 1,521 / 1,160 - 1 = 31%; Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 11,367 = 1.83 times (FY2020-FY2025); Display 1,060 / 1,607 - 1 = -34%; net income 6,998 / 1,377 = 5.1 times and EPS 8.66 / 1.12 = 7.7 times (FY2015-FY2025); revenue 28,368 / 9,659 = 2.9 times; balance sheet build July 2026 6,564 + 7,691 + 5,606 = 19,861; Display revenue excluded from Corporate and Other FY2025 1,185 - 1,060 = 125. Revenue FY2024 27,176 / 26,517 - 1 = 2.5%; R&D Q4 917 / 858 - 1 = 6.9%; revenue 30,837 / 25,785 - 1 = 19.6% (FY2022 to trailing July 2026); strategic investment gains 755 + 949 = 1,704; China less Taiwan nine months 6,688 - 5,902 = 786; forward earnings implied 40.91 / 26.95 = 1.52 times trailing; Q4 guide 10,250 / 9,115 - 1 = 12.5% above Q3. Memory share of systems revenue: DRAM plus flash 19% + 21% = 40% (FY2021), 17% + 6% = 23% (FY2023), 26% + 7% = 33% (FY2025). Market value 376,360 / 182,232 = 2.07 times the FY2025 year-end value; trailing net income 9,267 / 6,998 - 1 = 32%. Operating income 8,289 / 1,693 = 4.9 times (FY2015-FY2025). P/E gap to Lam 57.7 - 40.9 = 16.8. Q3 FY2026 returns 860 / 3,037 = 28% of operating cash flow. China plus Taiwan nine months (6,688 + 5,902) / 24,037 = 52%. Systems revenue Q1 to Q3 FY2026 7,040 / 5,141 - 1 = 37%. Systems share of segment operating income FY2025 7,379 / (7,379 + 1,792) = 7,379 / 9,171 = 80%. Systems R&D 3,042 / 20,798 = 14.6%. Third quarter share of nine-month systems profit 2,657 / 6,176 = 43%. Services FY2024 6,225 / 5,732 - 1 = 8.6%. Services share of backlog 4,335 / 11,758 = 37% (October 2021). Research per diluted share 1,451 / 1,226 = 1.18 (FY2015) and 3,570 / 808 = 4.42 (FY2025). Net cash plus long-term investments 2,689 + 5,268 = 7,957. Dividends per share 1.78 / 1.22 - 1 = 46%. ROE 35.5% / 10% = 3.5 times - valuation, cash and capital returns. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Applied Materials' Forms 10-K and 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  3. ReportedAt the end of fiscal 2023 the multiple was 16.02.
    Applied Materials fiscal-year ratios - market capitalisation, P/E and P/S at each fiscal year end, FY2021-FY2025, and return on equity. — FY2021-FY2025 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  4. ReportedThe highest close was $723.00 on 30 June 2026; the shares are about 34.4% below it.
    Applied Materials stock price history - highest end-of-day price $723.00 on 30 June 2026. — 2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  5. Moat Explorer calcThe highest close was $723.00 on 30 June 2026; the shares are about 34.4% below it.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Applied Materials' reported figures ($ millions unless stated). Segment shares FY2025: Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 28,368 = 73.3%; Applied Global Services 6,385 / 28,368 = 22.5%; Corporate and Other 1,185 / 28,368 = 4.2%. Segment operating margins FY2025: 7,379 / 20,798 = 35.5%; 1,792 / 6,385 = 28.1%; FY2024 6,981 / 19,911 = 35.1%, 1,812 / 6,225 = 29.1%; FY2023 6,879 / 19,698 = 34.9%, 1,529 / 5,732 = 26.7%. Q3 FY2026 margins: Semiconductor Systems 2,657 / 7,040 = 37.7%; Applied Global Services 536 / 1,781 = 30.1%; company operating margin 3,075 / 9,115 = 33.7%. Q1 FY2026 Semiconductor Systems 1,427 / 5,141 = 27.8%. Nine months FY2026 6,176 / 18,146 = 34.0% and 1,461 / 5,005 = 29.2%. Growth Q3 FY2026: Semiconductor Systems 7,040 / 5,564 - 1 = 26.5% year on year and 7,040 / 5,965 - 1 = 18.0% on the quarter; Applied Global Services 1,781 / 1,463 - 1 = 21.7%; revenue 9,115 / 7,910 - 1 = 15.2% on the quarter; United States revenue 1,367 / 683 - 1 = 100%; Europe 483 / 160 = 3.0 times. Nine months: 18,146 / 16,562 - 1 = 9.6%; 5,005 / 4,236 - 1 = 18.2%. Segment history, revenue: Semiconductor Systems 11,367 (FY2020), 16,286, 18,797, 19,698, 19,911, 20,798 (FY2025), compound growth (20,798 / 11,367)^(1/5) - 1 = 12.8% a year; Applied Global Services 4,155, 5,013, 5,543, 5,732, 6,225, 6,385, compound growth (6,385 / 4,155)^(1/5) - 1 = 9.0% a year, 6,385 / 5,732 - 1 = 11.4% over two years; Corporate and Other including Display 1,607 + 73 = 1,680 (FY2020), 1,634 + 130 = 1,764 (FY2021), 1,331 + 114 = 1,445 (FY2022), 868 + 219 = 1,087, 885 + 155 = 1,040, 1,185 (FY2025); 1,185 / 1,680 - 1 = -29%. Display operating margin 235 / 1,060 = 22% (FY2025) and 51 / 885 = 6% (FY2024). DRAM equipment 26% x 20,798 = about 5,400; flash 7% x 20,798 = about 1,460. Company margins: gross 13,808 / 28,368 = 48.7% (FY2025), 12,897 / 27,176 = 47.5% (FY2024), 12,384 / 26,517 = 46.7% (FY2023); operating 8,289 / 28,368 = 29.2%. R&D 3,570 / 28,368 = 12.6%; 3,570 / 1,451 = 2.5 times (FY2015-FY2025). Effective tax 2,273 / 9,271 = 24.5% (FY2025) and 975 / 8,152 = 12.0% (FY2024). Revenue FY2019 14,608 / 16,705 - 1 = -12.6%. Diluted shares 808 / 1,226 - 1 = -34%. Revenue outside the United States 25,305 / 28,368 = 89%. China share of revenue: 5,456 / 17,202 = 31.7% (FY2020); 7,535 / 23,063 = 32.7%; 7,254 / 25,785 = 28.1%; 7,247 / 26,517 = 27.3%; 10,117 / 27,176 = 37.2% (FY2024); 8,529 / 28,368 = 30.1% (FY2025). Taiwan 6,857 / 4,010 - 1 = 71%. Two largest customers 19% + 15% = 34% (FY2025) and 20% + 14% = 34% (nine months FY2026). Backlog: 15,002 / 19,011 - 1 = -21% (October 2022 to October 2025); Semiconductor Systems 7,105 / 12,691 - 1 = -44%; Applied Global Services 7,141 / 5,643 - 1 = +27%; shares of backlog 7,141 / 15,002 = 48% and 7,105 / 15,002 = 47%. Contract liabilities 3,271 / 2,566 - 1 = +27%; receivables 7,691 / 5,185 - 1 = +48%. Cash: net cash 7,241 + 1,332 - 100 - 6,455 = 2,018 (October 2025); 8,022 + 1,449 - 799 - 5,460 = 3,212 (October 2024); 7,037 + 2,196 - 1,299 - 5,245 = 2,689 (July 2026). Payout 1,384 / 6,998 = 19.8%; dividends plus buybacks 1,384 + 4,893 = 6,277, 6,277 / 7,958 = 79% of operating cash flow. ROE 6,998 / ((20,415 + 19,001) / 2) = 35.5% (FY2025), 40.6% (FY2024), 48.0% (FY2023). Trailing twelve months to July 2026: revenue 6,800 + 24,037 = 30,837; net income 1,897 + 7,370 = 9,267; operating cash flow 2,828 + 5,568 = 8,396; capital expenditure 785 + 1,988 = 2,773. Implied FY2026 revenue at the guidance midpoint 24,037 + 10,250 = 34,287, 34,287 / 28,368 - 1 = 20.9%; fourth-quarter midpoint 10,250 / 6,800 - 1 = 50.7%; implied non-GAAP EPS 8.73 + 4.02 = 12.75. Market: 376,360 / 9,267 = 40.6 times trailing earnings; 376,360 / 30,837 = 12.2 times sales; price 474.25 / 723.00 - 1 = -34.4%; Lam Research 384.36 - 376.36 = 8.00 bn more market value. ASML 662.45 / 376.36 = 1.8 times; KLA 246.05 / 376.36 = 0.65. Calendar year-end 2025 P/E 203,780 / 6,998 = 29.1; fiscal year-end P/E 40.91 / 11.83 = 3.5 times the FY2022 low. Other: services growth FY2025 6,385 / 6,225 - 1 = 2.6%; company revenue 28,368 / 27,176 - 1 = 4.4%; dividends 1,384 / 7,958 = 17.4% of operating cash flow; two largest customers FY2024 12% + 11% = 23%; Korea 1,521 / 1,160 - 1 = 31%; Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 11,367 = 1.83 times (FY2020-FY2025); Display 1,060 / 1,607 - 1 = -34%; net income 6,998 / 1,377 = 5.1 times and EPS 8.66 / 1.12 = 7.7 times (FY2015-FY2025); revenue 28,368 / 9,659 = 2.9 times; balance sheet build July 2026 6,564 + 7,691 + 5,606 = 19,861; Display revenue excluded from Corporate and Other FY2025 1,185 - 1,060 = 125. Revenue FY2024 27,176 / 26,517 - 1 = 2.5%; R&D Q4 917 / 858 - 1 = 6.9%; revenue 30,837 / 25,785 - 1 = 19.6% (FY2022 to trailing July 2026); strategic investment gains 755 + 949 = 1,704; China less Taiwan nine months 6,688 - 5,902 = 786; forward earnings implied 40.91 / 26.95 = 1.52 times trailing; Q4 guide 10,250 / 9,115 - 1 = 12.5% above Q3. Memory share of systems revenue: DRAM plus flash 19% + 21% = 40% (FY2021), 17% + 6% = 23% (FY2023), 26% + 7% = 33% (FY2025). Market value 376,360 / 182,232 = 2.07 times the FY2025 year-end value; trailing net income 9,267 / 6,998 - 1 = 32%. Operating income 8,289 / 1,693 = 4.9 times (FY2015-FY2025). P/E gap to Lam 57.7 - 40.9 = 16.8. Q3 FY2026 returns 860 / 3,037 = 28% of operating cash flow. China plus Taiwan nine months (6,688 + 5,902) / 24,037 = 52%. Systems revenue Q1 to Q3 FY2026 7,040 / 5,141 - 1 = 37%. Systems share of segment operating income FY2025 7,379 / (7,379 + 1,792) = 7,379 / 9,171 = 80%. Systems R&D 3,042 / 20,798 = 14.6%. Third quarter share of nine-month systems profit 2,657 / 6,176 = 43%. Services FY2024 6,225 / 5,732 - 1 = 8.6%. Services share of backlog 4,335 / 11,758 = 37% (October 2021). Research per diluted share 1,451 / 1,226 = 1.18 (FY2015) and 3,570 / 808 = 4.42 (FY2025). Net cash plus long-term investments 2,689 + 5,268 = 7,957. Dividends per share 1.78 / 1.22 - 1 = 46%. ROE 35.5% / 10% = 3.5 times - valuation, cash and capital returns. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Applied Materials' Forms 10-K and 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  6. ReportedAfter the record third quarter they fell from $534.54 to $507.18 in a day.
    Applied Materials daily price history - close $534.54 on 13 August 2026 and $507.18 on 14 August 2026. — August 2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  7. Moat Explorer calcThe business is cyclical, and the last down year was not long ago: revenue fell 12.6% in fiscal 2019.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Applied Materials' reported figures ($ millions unless stated). Segment shares FY2025: Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 28,368 = 73.3%; Applied Global Services 6,385 / 28,368 = 22.5%; Corporate and Other 1,185 / 28,368 = 4.2%. Segment operating margins FY2025: 7,379 / 20,798 = 35.5%; 1,792 / 6,385 = 28.1%; FY2024 6,981 / 19,911 = 35.1%, 1,812 / 6,225 = 29.1%; FY2023 6,879 / 19,698 = 34.9%, 1,529 / 5,732 = 26.7%. Q3 FY2026 margins: Semiconductor Systems 2,657 / 7,040 = 37.7%; Applied Global Services 536 / 1,781 = 30.1%; company operating margin 3,075 / 9,115 = 33.7%. Q1 FY2026 Semiconductor Systems 1,427 / 5,141 = 27.8%. Nine months FY2026 6,176 / 18,146 = 34.0% and 1,461 / 5,005 = 29.2%. Growth Q3 FY2026: Semiconductor Systems 7,040 / 5,564 - 1 = 26.5% year on year and 7,040 / 5,965 - 1 = 18.0% on the quarter; Applied Global Services 1,781 / 1,463 - 1 = 21.7%; revenue 9,115 / 7,910 - 1 = 15.2% on the quarter; United States revenue 1,367 / 683 - 1 = 100%; Europe 483 / 160 = 3.0 times. Nine months: 18,146 / 16,562 - 1 = 9.6%; 5,005 / 4,236 - 1 = 18.2%. Segment history, revenue: Semiconductor Systems 11,367 (FY2020), 16,286, 18,797, 19,698, 19,911, 20,798 (FY2025), compound growth (20,798 / 11,367)^(1/5) - 1 = 12.8% a year; Applied Global Services 4,155, 5,013, 5,543, 5,732, 6,225, 6,385, compound growth (6,385 / 4,155)^(1/5) - 1 = 9.0% a year, 6,385 / 5,732 - 1 = 11.4% over two years; Corporate and Other including Display 1,607 + 73 = 1,680 (FY2020), 1,634 + 130 = 1,764 (FY2021), 1,331 + 114 = 1,445 (FY2022), 868 + 219 = 1,087, 885 + 155 = 1,040, 1,185 (FY2025); 1,185 / 1,680 - 1 = -29%. Display operating margin 235 / 1,060 = 22% (FY2025) and 51 / 885 = 6% (FY2024). DRAM equipment 26% x 20,798 = about 5,400; flash 7% x 20,798 = about 1,460. Company margins: gross 13,808 / 28,368 = 48.7% (FY2025), 12,897 / 27,176 = 47.5% (FY2024), 12,384 / 26,517 = 46.7% (FY2023); operating 8,289 / 28,368 = 29.2%. R&D 3,570 / 28,368 = 12.6%; 3,570 / 1,451 = 2.5 times (FY2015-FY2025). Effective tax 2,273 / 9,271 = 24.5% (FY2025) and 975 / 8,152 = 12.0% (FY2024). Revenue FY2019 14,608 / 16,705 - 1 = -12.6%. Diluted shares 808 / 1,226 - 1 = -34%. Revenue outside the United States 25,305 / 28,368 = 89%. China share of revenue: 5,456 / 17,202 = 31.7% (FY2020); 7,535 / 23,063 = 32.7%; 7,254 / 25,785 = 28.1%; 7,247 / 26,517 = 27.3%; 10,117 / 27,176 = 37.2% (FY2024); 8,529 / 28,368 = 30.1% (FY2025). Taiwan 6,857 / 4,010 - 1 = 71%. Two largest customers 19% + 15% = 34% (FY2025) and 20% + 14% = 34% (nine months FY2026). Backlog: 15,002 / 19,011 - 1 = -21% (October 2022 to October 2025); Semiconductor Systems 7,105 / 12,691 - 1 = -44%; Applied Global Services 7,141 / 5,643 - 1 = +27%; shares of backlog 7,141 / 15,002 = 48% and 7,105 / 15,002 = 47%. Contract liabilities 3,271 / 2,566 - 1 = +27%; receivables 7,691 / 5,185 - 1 = +48%. Cash: net cash 7,241 + 1,332 - 100 - 6,455 = 2,018 (October 2025); 8,022 + 1,449 - 799 - 5,460 = 3,212 (October 2024); 7,037 + 2,196 - 1,299 - 5,245 = 2,689 (July 2026). Payout 1,384 / 6,998 = 19.8%; dividends plus buybacks 1,384 + 4,893 = 6,277, 6,277 / 7,958 = 79% of operating cash flow. ROE 6,998 / ((20,415 + 19,001) / 2) = 35.5% (FY2025), 40.6% (FY2024), 48.0% (FY2023). Trailing twelve months to July 2026: revenue 6,800 + 24,037 = 30,837; net income 1,897 + 7,370 = 9,267; operating cash flow 2,828 + 5,568 = 8,396; capital expenditure 785 + 1,988 = 2,773. Implied FY2026 revenue at the guidance midpoint 24,037 + 10,250 = 34,287, 34,287 / 28,368 - 1 = 20.9%; fourth-quarter midpoint 10,250 / 6,800 - 1 = 50.7%; implied non-GAAP EPS 8.73 + 4.02 = 12.75. Market: 376,360 / 9,267 = 40.6 times trailing earnings; 376,360 / 30,837 = 12.2 times sales; price 474.25 / 723.00 - 1 = -34.4%; Lam Research 384.36 - 376.36 = 8.00 bn more market value. ASML 662.45 / 376.36 = 1.8 times; KLA 246.05 / 376.36 = 0.65. Calendar year-end 2025 P/E 203,780 / 6,998 = 29.1; fiscal year-end P/E 40.91 / 11.83 = 3.5 times the FY2022 low. Other: services growth FY2025 6,385 / 6,225 - 1 = 2.6%; company revenue 28,368 / 27,176 - 1 = 4.4%; dividends 1,384 / 7,958 = 17.4% of operating cash flow; two largest customers FY2024 12% + 11% = 23%; Korea 1,521 / 1,160 - 1 = 31%; Semiconductor Systems 20,798 / 11,367 = 1.83 times (FY2020-FY2025); Display 1,060 / 1,607 - 1 = -34%; net income 6,998 / 1,377 = 5.1 times and EPS 8.66 / 1.12 = 7.7 times (FY2015-FY2025); revenue 28,368 / 9,659 = 2.9 times; balance sheet build July 2026 6,564 + 7,691 + 5,606 = 19,861; Display revenue excluded from Corporate and Other FY2025 1,185 - 1,060 = 125. Revenue FY2024 27,176 / 26,517 - 1 = 2.5%; R&D Q4 917 / 858 - 1 = 6.9%; revenue 30,837 / 25,785 - 1 = 19.6% (FY2022 to trailing July 2026); strategic investment gains 755 + 949 = 1,704; China less Taiwan nine months 6,688 - 5,902 = 786; forward earnings implied 40.91 / 26.95 = 1.52 times trailing; Q4 guide 10,250 / 9,115 - 1 = 12.5% above Q3. Memory share of systems revenue: DRAM plus flash 19% + 21% = 40% (FY2021), 17% + 6% = 23% (FY2023), 26% + 7% = 33% (FY2025). Market value 376,360 / 182,232 = 2.07 times the FY2025 year-end value; trailing net income 9,267 / 6,998 - 1 = 32%. Operating income 8,289 / 1,693 = 4.9 times (FY2015-FY2025). P/E gap to Lam 57.7 - 40.9 = 16.8. Q3 FY2026 returns 860 / 3,037 = 28% of operating cash flow. China plus Taiwan nine months (6,688 + 5,902) / 24,037 = 52%. Systems revenue Q1 to Q3 FY2026 7,040 / 5,141 - 1 = 37%. Systems share of segment operating income FY2025 7,379 / (7,379 + 1,792) = 7,379 / 9,171 = 80%. Systems R&D 3,042 / 20,798 = 14.6%. Third quarter share of nine-month systems profit 2,657 / 6,176 = 43%. Services FY2024 6,225 / 5,732 - 1 = 8.6%. Services share of backlog 4,335 / 11,758 = 37% (October 2021). Research per diluted share 1,451 / 1,226 = 1.18 (FY2015) and 3,570 / 808 = 4.42 (FY2025). Net cash plus long-term investments 2,689 + 5,268 = 7,957. Dividends per share 1.78 / 1.22 - 1 = 46%. ROE 35.5% / 10% = 3.5 times - segment shares, margins and growth - segment revenue shares and growth. — FY2015-FY2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Applied Materials' Forms 10-K and 10-Q, results releases and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  8. ReportedApplied gives guidance one quarter at a time, so investors have no longer view from the company.
    Applied Materials third-quarter fiscal 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - record revenue, segment results, revenue by geography, employees and fourth-quarter guidance - highlights, income statement, cash flow, quotes and fourth-quarter guidance. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 13 August 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedForward earnings put it at 26.95 times, which assumes the fourth quarter's non-GAAP earnings of about $4.02 a share are sustained and grown.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) statistics - forward P/E 26.95, P/S 12.20, P/B 14.69, 793.60M shares, 52-week change +136.10%. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  10. ReportedForward earnings put it at 26.95 times, which assumes the fourth quarter's non-GAAP earnings of about $4.02 a share are sustained and grown.
    Applied Materials third-quarter fiscal 2026 results release, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - record revenue, segment results, revenue by geography, employees and fourth-quarter guidance - highlights, income statement, cash flow, quotes and fourth-quarter guidance. — Q3 FY2026 · publ. 13 August 2026 · source ↗
  11. ReportedIn the last days of July 2026 the shares fell 3.61%, 7.82% and 8.40% on consecutive days, then rose 14.97%.
    Applied Materials daily price history - close $534.54 on 13 August 2026 and $507.18 on 14 August 2026. — August 2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  12. ReportedThe 52-week range was $196.20 to $739.67.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) market data - $474.25 at the close on 24 September 2026, market cap $376.36B, trailing P/E 40.91, 52-week range $196.20-$739.67, 39 analysts. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  13. ReportedA stock with a beta of 1.60 moves further than the market in both directions, and a turn in the equipment cycle would be felt first in the price.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) statistics - forward P/E 26.95, P/S 12.20, P/B 14.69, 793.60M shares, 52-week change +136.10%. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  14. ReportedEnterprise value was 36.88 times EBITDA and the shares 14.69 times book value in September 2026.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) statistics - forward P/E 26.95, P/S 12.20, P/B 14.69, 793.60M shares, 52-week change +136.10%. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
  15. ReportedAt the end of fiscal 2022, the last trough, the price-to-sales ratio was 2.99; it was 12.20 in September 2026.
    Applied Materials fiscal-year ratios - market capitalisation, P/E and P/S at each fiscal year end, FY2021-FY2025, and return on equity. — FY2021-FY2025 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  16. ReportedAt the end of fiscal 2022, the last trough, the price-to-sales ratio was 2.99; it was 12.20 in September 2026.
    Applied Materials (AMAT) statistics - forward P/E 26.95, P/S 12.20, P/B 14.69, 793.60M shares, 52-week change +136.10%. — September 2026 · publ. 24 September 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 25, 2026