◆ What the Market Isn't Pricing In

Netflix (NFLX) — the variant view

Netflix's shares fell 41% in a year its profits rose a quarter, because the market is pricing flat viewing hours rather than rising cash.

📈 NFLX valuation, revenue & earnings — P/E, P/S, revenue, EPS →

The market has marked Netflix down while its profits went up. The shares were $71.15 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $296.24 billion1, down about 41% in a year2. Over roughly the same period net income rose 26% in 2025, to $10,981 million34, and the operating margin is guided to 31.5% for 20265.

Year-end P/E, calculated (times)52.2202129.2202239.4202343.7202436.2202521.7Nowstockanalysis market-cap history over Netflix reported net income; now = trailing
The lowest multiple in the series outside 2022.

The price-to-earnings ratio fell accordingly: from about 36 times at the end of 2025 to about 22 times trailing earnings now67, and 20.55 times forward8. The trailing figure is flattered by the $2.8 billion termination fee in the first quarter9.

The market's worry is engagement. View hours grew about 2% in the first half10, YouTube leads American television time11, and analysts have downgraded the shares on that point12.

What that view may underweight is cash. Netflix expects about $12.5 billion of free cash flow in 202613, a free cash flow yield of about 3.8%14, and it has $27.1 billion of buyback authorization left15, about 9% of its market value16. A company growing revenue 13% while shrinking its share count is not priced like one.

Analysts have not given up on the shares. Fifty-one of them follow the company with a consensus rating of buy and an average target of $92.9317, well above the $71.15 close. The dissenters are specific: HSBC cut its target to $76 from $96 on YouTube taking share of viewing18. The distance between the average target and the price, about 30%, is itself a measure of how much the engagement worry is weighing on a business whose earnings keep rising.

The fall has been steep even by the stock's own standards. The shares traded between $65.08 and $124.86 over the past year19, and the market value was $397.29 billion at the end of 202520. At the close of 25 September 2026 the enterprise value was $303.77 billion21, barely above the market value, because net debt is small.

The reconciling number is revenue growth. If it holds near the guided 12% at constant currency through 2027, today's multiple is too low; if it falls below 10%, the market's caution will have been right.

References
  1. ReportedThe shares were $71.15 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $296.24 billion, down about 41% in a year.
    Netflix (NFLX) market data - $71.15 a share at the close on 25 September 2026, market cap $296.24B, 52-week range $65.08-$124.86, 51 analysts with a $92.93 target; analyst downgrades on YouTube's share of viewing; Paramount's settlement with states on its $110B WBD deal. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  2. ReportedThe shares were $71.15 on 25 September 2026, a market value of $296.24 billion, down about 41% in a year.
    Netflix (NFLX) statistics - trailing P/E 22.41, forward P/E 20.55, P/S 6.12, FCF yield 3.76%, 1-year change -40.91%, no dividend. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  3. ReportedOver roughly the same period net income rose 26% in 2025, to $10,981 million, and the operating margin is guided to 31.5% for 2026.
    Netflix Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - financial statements: income, cash flow, repurchases, debt and equity. — FY2025 · publ. 23 January 2026 · source ↗
  4. Moat Explorer calcOver roughly the same period net income rose 26% in 2025, to $10,981 million, and the operating margin is guided to 31.5% for 2026.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Netflix's reported financial statements, shareholder letters and market data ($ millions unless stated). Content amortization / revenue: 14,026.1 / 31,615.6 = 44.4% (2022); 14,197.4 / 33,723.3 = 42.1% (2023); 15,301.5 / 39,001.0 = 39.2% (2024); 16,422.2 / 45,183.0 = 36.3% (2025); Q2 2026 4,311.3 / 12,559.9 = 34.3%. Revenue growth 2022-2025: 45,183.0 / 31,615.6 - 1 = 43%; 2025 45,183.0 / 39,001.0 - 1 = 15.9%. Operating income 13,326.6 / 5,632.8 = 2.4 times. Gross margin (45,183.0 - 23,275.3) / 45,183.0 = 48.5% (2025); (33,723.3 - 19,715.4) / 33,723.3 = 41.5% (2023). Q3 2025 operating margin excluding the Brazil charge (3,248 + 619) / 11,510 = 33.6%. Additions to content assets Q2 2026 4,927.5 / 3,835.8 - 1 = 28%. Cash content spend = additions less change in content liabilities: 16,839.0 - 179.3 = 16,659.7 (2022), 12,554.7 + 585.6 = 13,140.3 (2023), 16,223.6 + 779.1 = 17,002.8 (2024), 17,096.6 + 610.8 = 17,707.5 (2025); ratio to amortization 16,659.7 / 14,026.1 = 1.19, 13,140.3 / 14,197.4 = 0.93, 17,002.8 / 15,301.5 = 1.11, 17,707.5 / 16,422.2 = 1.08. Licensed share of amortization 8,713.6 / 16,422.2 = 53%; licensed growth 8,713.6 / 7,689.0 - 1 = 13.3%; produced growth 7,708.6 / 7,612.5 - 1 = 1.3%. Produced share of content assets 20,639.8 / 32,778.4 = 63%; content assets / amortization 32,778.4 / 16,422.2 = 2.0 years. Tax incentives / produced amortization 1,000 / 7,708.6 = 13%; tax incentives / operating income 1,000 / 13,326.6 = 7.5%. Employees outside UCAN 16,000 - 10,900 = 5,100. Capex / revenue 688.2 / 45,183.0 = 1.5%; capex growth 688.2 / 439.5 - 1 = 57%. Free cash flow = operating cash flow less capex: 10,149.3 - 688.2 = 9,461.1 (2025); 7,361.4 - 439.5 = 6,921.8 (2024); 7,274.3 - 348.6 = 6,925.7 (2023); FCF / revenue 9,461.1 / 45,183.0 = 20.9%; FCF / net income 9,461.1 / 10,981.2 = 86%; capex / FCF 348.6 / 6,925.7 = 5.0%, 439.5 / 6,921.8 = 6.4%, 688.2 / 9,461.1 = 7.3%. Buybacks / FCF 9,127.2 / 9,461.1 = 96%; buybacks 2024 + 2025 6,263.7 + 9,127.2 = 15,390.9; diluted shares 4,261 / 4,349 - 1 = -2.0%; remaining authorization 27.1 / 296.24 = 9%. Year-end P/E = market value / net income: 213.10 / 5.408 = 39.4 (2023), 381.00 / 8.712 = 43.7 (2024), 397.29 / 10.981 = 36.2 (2025), trailing 296.24 / 13.650 = 21.7. Net debt / equity end 2025 (14,462.8 - 9,033.7 - 28.7) / 26,615.5 = 0.20; interest / operating income 776.5 / 13,326.6 = 5.8%; termination fee / 2025 net income 2,800 / 10,981.2 = 25%; ROE 10,981.2 / ((26,615.5 + 24,743.6) / 2) = 43%; net income growth 10,981.2 / 8,711.6 - 1 = 26%. Pre-tax income 2025 10,981.2 + 1,741.4 = 12,722.6, one point of tax rate = 127; six points = 763. UCAN ARM 17.20 / 15.86 - 1 = 8.4%; UCAN net additions 80,128 - 74,296 = 5,832 (2023), 89,625 - 80,128 = 9,497 (2024); paid memberships growth 301,626 / 260,276 - 1 = 16%; top plan price 37 / 32 - 1 = 15.6%. Obligations: due in 12 months / revenue 11,528.0 / 45,183.0 = 25.5%; obligations / debt 25.1 / 14.3 = 1.75; off balance sheet 18.4 / 24.0 = 76% (end 2025), 19.6 / 25.1 = 78% (June 2026). Advertising: 1.5 / 45.2 = 3.3% of 2025 revenue; 3.0 / 51.2 = 5.9% of the 2026 guidance midpoint (51.0 + 51.4) / 2 = 51.2. Nielsen gap 13.8 - 8.0 = 5.8 points. Regions: 2025 shares UCAN 19,957.2 / 45,183.0 = 44.2%, EMEA 14,514.6 / 45,183.0 = 32.1%, LATAM 5,357.5 / 45,183.0 = 11.9%, APAC 5,353.7 / 45,183.0 = 11.8%; Q2 2026 UCAN 5,432 / 12,560 = 43.2%. UCAN growth 14,873.8 / 14,084.6 - 1 = 5.6% (2023), 17,359.4 / 14,873.8 - 1 = 16.7% (2024), 19,957.2 / 17,359.4 - 1 = 15.0% (2025). EMEA memberships 101,133 / 76,729 - 1 = 31.8%; APAC memberships 57,541 / 38,023 - 1 = 51.3%; APAC revenue 5,353.7 / 3,570.2 - 1 = 50%. UCAN share of 2022 streaming revenue 14,084.6 / 31,469.9 = 44.8%. Memberships 2022-2024: UCAN 89,625 / 74,296 - 1 = 20.6%, LATAM 53,327 / 41,699 - 1 = 27.9%. ARM gap UCAN less APAC 15.86 - 8.50 = 7.36 (2022), 17.20 - 7.29 = 9.91 (2024). H1 2026 revenue 24,809.7 / 51,200 = 48.5% of the guidance midpoint. Diluted shares 4,343,863 / 4,494,966 - 1 = -3.4%. Average buyback price Q2 2026 4.7bn / 52.93M shares = about $89; 2025 9,127.2 / 86.54M shares = about $105; 71.15 / 105 - 1 = -32%. Analyst target 92.93 / 71.15 - 1 = 31%. US revenue 18.5 / 13.8 - 1 = 34%. Hedging swing 124 - (-91) = 215. Revenue 2023-2025 45,183.0 / 33,723.3 - 1 = 34%; employees 16,000 / 13,000 - 1 = 23%. Q2 net income 3,401 / 3,125 - 1 = 8.8%. DVD revenue = total revenue less streaming revenue: 33,723.3 - 33,640.5 = 82.8 (2023); 31,615.6 - 31,469.9 = 145.7 (2022) - cash flow, capital returns, valuation and obligations. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Netflix's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, shareholder letters, Nielsen's May 2026 Gauge and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  5. ReportedOver roughly the same period net income rose 26% in 2025, to $10,981 million, and the operating margin is guided to 31.5% for 2026.
    Netflix second-quarter 2026 shareholder letter, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - quarterly results, regional revenue, 2026 guidance, view hours, live programming and advertising - financial results, regional revenue and 2026 guidance. — Q2 2026 · publ. 16 July 2026 · source ↗
  6. Moat Explorer calcThe price-to-earnings ratio fell accordingly: from about 36 times at the end of 2025 to about 22 times trailing earnings now, and 20.55 times forward.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Netflix's reported financial statements, shareholder letters and market data ($ millions unless stated). Content amortization / revenue: 14,026.1 / 31,615.6 = 44.4% (2022); 14,197.4 / 33,723.3 = 42.1% (2023); 15,301.5 / 39,001.0 = 39.2% (2024); 16,422.2 / 45,183.0 = 36.3% (2025); Q2 2026 4,311.3 / 12,559.9 = 34.3%. Revenue growth 2022-2025: 45,183.0 / 31,615.6 - 1 = 43%; 2025 45,183.0 / 39,001.0 - 1 = 15.9%. Operating income 13,326.6 / 5,632.8 = 2.4 times. Gross margin (45,183.0 - 23,275.3) / 45,183.0 = 48.5% (2025); (33,723.3 - 19,715.4) / 33,723.3 = 41.5% (2023). Q3 2025 operating margin excluding the Brazil charge (3,248 + 619) / 11,510 = 33.6%. Additions to content assets Q2 2026 4,927.5 / 3,835.8 - 1 = 28%. Cash content spend = additions less change in content liabilities: 16,839.0 - 179.3 = 16,659.7 (2022), 12,554.7 + 585.6 = 13,140.3 (2023), 16,223.6 + 779.1 = 17,002.8 (2024), 17,096.6 + 610.8 = 17,707.5 (2025); ratio to amortization 16,659.7 / 14,026.1 = 1.19, 13,140.3 / 14,197.4 = 0.93, 17,002.8 / 15,301.5 = 1.11, 17,707.5 / 16,422.2 = 1.08. Licensed share of amortization 8,713.6 / 16,422.2 = 53%; licensed growth 8,713.6 / 7,689.0 - 1 = 13.3%; produced growth 7,708.6 / 7,612.5 - 1 = 1.3%. Produced share of content assets 20,639.8 / 32,778.4 = 63%; content assets / amortization 32,778.4 / 16,422.2 = 2.0 years. Tax incentives / produced amortization 1,000 / 7,708.6 = 13%; tax incentives / operating income 1,000 / 13,326.6 = 7.5%. Employees outside UCAN 16,000 - 10,900 = 5,100. Capex / revenue 688.2 / 45,183.0 = 1.5%; capex growth 688.2 / 439.5 - 1 = 57%. Free cash flow = operating cash flow less capex: 10,149.3 - 688.2 = 9,461.1 (2025); 7,361.4 - 439.5 = 6,921.8 (2024); 7,274.3 - 348.6 = 6,925.7 (2023); FCF / revenue 9,461.1 / 45,183.0 = 20.9%; FCF / net income 9,461.1 / 10,981.2 = 86%; capex / FCF 348.6 / 6,925.7 = 5.0%, 439.5 / 6,921.8 = 6.4%, 688.2 / 9,461.1 = 7.3%. Buybacks / FCF 9,127.2 / 9,461.1 = 96%; buybacks 2024 + 2025 6,263.7 + 9,127.2 = 15,390.9; diluted shares 4,261 / 4,349 - 1 = -2.0%; remaining authorization 27.1 / 296.24 = 9%. Year-end P/E = market value / net income: 213.10 / 5.408 = 39.4 (2023), 381.00 / 8.712 = 43.7 (2024), 397.29 / 10.981 = 36.2 (2025), trailing 296.24 / 13.650 = 21.7. Net debt / equity end 2025 (14,462.8 - 9,033.7 - 28.7) / 26,615.5 = 0.20; interest / operating income 776.5 / 13,326.6 = 5.8%; termination fee / 2025 net income 2,800 / 10,981.2 = 25%; ROE 10,981.2 / ((26,615.5 + 24,743.6) / 2) = 43%; net income growth 10,981.2 / 8,711.6 - 1 = 26%. Pre-tax income 2025 10,981.2 + 1,741.4 = 12,722.6, one point of tax rate = 127; six points = 763. UCAN ARM 17.20 / 15.86 - 1 = 8.4%; UCAN net additions 80,128 - 74,296 = 5,832 (2023), 89,625 - 80,128 = 9,497 (2024); paid memberships growth 301,626 / 260,276 - 1 = 16%; top plan price 37 / 32 - 1 = 15.6%. Obligations: due in 12 months / revenue 11,528.0 / 45,183.0 = 25.5%; obligations / debt 25.1 / 14.3 = 1.75; off balance sheet 18.4 / 24.0 = 76% (end 2025), 19.6 / 25.1 = 78% (June 2026). Advertising: 1.5 / 45.2 = 3.3% of 2025 revenue; 3.0 / 51.2 = 5.9% of the 2026 guidance midpoint (51.0 + 51.4) / 2 = 51.2. Nielsen gap 13.8 - 8.0 = 5.8 points. Regions: 2025 shares UCAN 19,957.2 / 45,183.0 = 44.2%, EMEA 14,514.6 / 45,183.0 = 32.1%, LATAM 5,357.5 / 45,183.0 = 11.9%, APAC 5,353.7 / 45,183.0 = 11.8%; Q2 2026 UCAN 5,432 / 12,560 = 43.2%. UCAN growth 14,873.8 / 14,084.6 - 1 = 5.6% (2023), 17,359.4 / 14,873.8 - 1 = 16.7% (2024), 19,957.2 / 17,359.4 - 1 = 15.0% (2025). EMEA memberships 101,133 / 76,729 - 1 = 31.8%; APAC memberships 57,541 / 38,023 - 1 = 51.3%; APAC revenue 5,353.7 / 3,570.2 - 1 = 50%. UCAN share of 2022 streaming revenue 14,084.6 / 31,469.9 = 44.8%. Memberships 2022-2024: UCAN 89,625 / 74,296 - 1 = 20.6%, LATAM 53,327 / 41,699 - 1 = 27.9%. ARM gap UCAN less APAC 15.86 - 8.50 = 7.36 (2022), 17.20 - 7.29 = 9.91 (2024). H1 2026 revenue 24,809.7 / 51,200 = 48.5% of the guidance midpoint. Diluted shares 4,343,863 / 4,494,966 - 1 = -3.4%. Average buyback price Q2 2026 4.7bn / 52.93M shares = about $89; 2025 9,127.2 / 86.54M shares = about $105; 71.15 / 105 - 1 = -32%. Analyst target 92.93 / 71.15 - 1 = 31%. US revenue 18.5 / 13.8 - 1 = 34%. Hedging swing 124 - (-91) = 215. Revenue 2023-2025 45,183.0 / 33,723.3 - 1 = 34%; employees 16,000 / 13,000 - 1 = 23%. Q2 net income 3,401 / 3,125 - 1 = 8.8%. DVD revenue = total revenue less streaming revenue: 33,723.3 - 33,640.5 = 82.8 (2023); 31,615.6 - 31,469.9 = 145.7 (2022) - cash flow, capital returns, valuation and obligations. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Netflix's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, shareholder letters, Nielsen's May 2026 Gauge and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  7. ReportedThe price-to-earnings ratio fell accordingly: from about 36 times at the end of 2025 to about 22 times trailing earnings now, and 20.55 times forward.
    Netflix (NFLX) statistics - trailing P/E 22.41, forward P/E 20.55, P/S 6.12, FCF yield 3.76%, 1-year change -40.91%, no dividend. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  8. ReportedThe price-to-earnings ratio fell accordingly: from about 36 times at the end of 2025 to about 22 times trailing earnings now, and 20.55 times forward.
    Netflix (NFLX) statistics - trailing P/E 22.41, forward P/E 20.55, P/S 6.12, FCF yield 3.76%, 1-year change -40.91%, no dividend. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  9. ReportedThe trailing figure is flattered by the $2.8 billion termination fee in the first quarter.
    Netflix Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 - content obligations, the termination fee, Brazil tax payments, share repurchases and the March 2026 acquisition. — Q2 2026 · publ. 17 July 2026 · source ↗
  10. ReportedView hours grew about 2% in the first half, YouTube leads American television time, and analysts have downgraded the shares on that point.
    Netflix second-quarter 2026 shareholder letter, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - quarterly results, regional revenue, 2026 guidance, view hours, live programming and advertising - programming, engagement, live events and product. — Q2 2026 · publ. 16 July 2026 · source ↗
  11. Third-party estimateView hours grew about 2% in the first half, YouTube leads American television time, and analysts have downgraded the shares on that point.
    Nielsen, 'Streaming embarks on annual summer ascent in Nielsen's May 2026 Gauge reports' - Media Distributor Gauge: YouTube 13.8% of TV watch time, Netflix 8.0%, Prime Video a platform-best 4.5%; Netflix helped by the acquired series La Brea. — May 2026 · publ. 28 July 2026 · source ↗
  12. ReportedView hours grew about 2% in the first half, YouTube leads American television time, and analysts have downgraded the shares on that point.
    Netflix (NFLX) market data - $71.15 a share at the close on 25 September 2026, market cap $296.24B, 52-week range $65.08-$124.86, 51 analysts with a $92.93 target; analyst downgrades on YouTube's share of viewing; Paramount's settlement with states on its $110B WBD deal. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  13. ReportedNetflix expects about $12.5 billion of free cash flow in 2026, a free cash flow yield of about 3.8%, and it has $27.1 billion of buyback authorization left, about 9% of its market value.
    Netflix first-quarter 2026 shareholder letter, Form 8-K exhibit 99.1 - the raised free cash flow forecast, TV view share, the InterPositive acquisition and Reed Hastings leaving the board. — Q1 2026 · publ. 16 April 2026 · source ↗
  14. ReportedNetflix expects about $12.5 billion of free cash flow in 2026, a free cash flow yield of about 3.8%, and it has $27.1 billion of buyback authorization left, about 9% of its market value.
    Netflix (NFLX) statistics - trailing P/E 22.41, forward P/E 20.55, P/S 6.12, FCF yield 3.76%, 1-year change -40.91%, no dividend. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  15. ReportedNetflix expects about $12.5 billion of free cash flow in 2026, a free cash flow yield of about 3.8%, and it has $27.1 billion of buyback authorization left, about 9% of its market value.
    Netflix Form 10-Q for the quarter ended 30 June 2026 - content obligations, the termination fee, Brazil tax payments, share repurchases and the March 2026 acquisition. — Q2 2026 · publ. 17 July 2026 · source ↗
  16. Moat Explorer calcNetflix expects about $12.5 billion of free cash flow in 2026, a free cash flow yield of about 3.8%, and it has $27.1 billion of buyback authorization left, about 9% of its market value.
    Moat Explorer calculation from Netflix's reported financial statements, shareholder letters and market data ($ millions unless stated). Content amortization / revenue: 14,026.1 / 31,615.6 = 44.4% (2022); 14,197.4 / 33,723.3 = 42.1% (2023); 15,301.5 / 39,001.0 = 39.2% (2024); 16,422.2 / 45,183.0 = 36.3% (2025); Q2 2026 4,311.3 / 12,559.9 = 34.3%. Revenue growth 2022-2025: 45,183.0 / 31,615.6 - 1 = 43%; 2025 45,183.0 / 39,001.0 - 1 = 15.9%. Operating income 13,326.6 / 5,632.8 = 2.4 times. Gross margin (45,183.0 - 23,275.3) / 45,183.0 = 48.5% (2025); (33,723.3 - 19,715.4) / 33,723.3 = 41.5% (2023). Q3 2025 operating margin excluding the Brazil charge (3,248 + 619) / 11,510 = 33.6%. Additions to content assets Q2 2026 4,927.5 / 3,835.8 - 1 = 28%. Cash content spend = additions less change in content liabilities: 16,839.0 - 179.3 = 16,659.7 (2022), 12,554.7 + 585.6 = 13,140.3 (2023), 16,223.6 + 779.1 = 17,002.8 (2024), 17,096.6 + 610.8 = 17,707.5 (2025); ratio to amortization 16,659.7 / 14,026.1 = 1.19, 13,140.3 / 14,197.4 = 0.93, 17,002.8 / 15,301.5 = 1.11, 17,707.5 / 16,422.2 = 1.08. Licensed share of amortization 8,713.6 / 16,422.2 = 53%; licensed growth 8,713.6 / 7,689.0 - 1 = 13.3%; produced growth 7,708.6 / 7,612.5 - 1 = 1.3%. Produced share of content assets 20,639.8 / 32,778.4 = 63%; content assets / amortization 32,778.4 / 16,422.2 = 2.0 years. Tax incentives / produced amortization 1,000 / 7,708.6 = 13%; tax incentives / operating income 1,000 / 13,326.6 = 7.5%. Employees outside UCAN 16,000 - 10,900 = 5,100. Capex / revenue 688.2 / 45,183.0 = 1.5%; capex growth 688.2 / 439.5 - 1 = 57%. Free cash flow = operating cash flow less capex: 10,149.3 - 688.2 = 9,461.1 (2025); 7,361.4 - 439.5 = 6,921.8 (2024); 7,274.3 - 348.6 = 6,925.7 (2023); FCF / revenue 9,461.1 / 45,183.0 = 20.9%; FCF / net income 9,461.1 / 10,981.2 = 86%; capex / FCF 348.6 / 6,925.7 = 5.0%, 439.5 / 6,921.8 = 6.4%, 688.2 / 9,461.1 = 7.3%. Buybacks / FCF 9,127.2 / 9,461.1 = 96%; buybacks 2024 + 2025 6,263.7 + 9,127.2 = 15,390.9; diluted shares 4,261 / 4,349 - 1 = -2.0%; remaining authorization 27.1 / 296.24 = 9%. Year-end P/E = market value / net income: 213.10 / 5.408 = 39.4 (2023), 381.00 / 8.712 = 43.7 (2024), 397.29 / 10.981 = 36.2 (2025), trailing 296.24 / 13.650 = 21.7. Net debt / equity end 2025 (14,462.8 - 9,033.7 - 28.7) / 26,615.5 = 0.20; interest / operating income 776.5 / 13,326.6 = 5.8%; termination fee / 2025 net income 2,800 / 10,981.2 = 25%; ROE 10,981.2 / ((26,615.5 + 24,743.6) / 2) = 43%; net income growth 10,981.2 / 8,711.6 - 1 = 26%. Pre-tax income 2025 10,981.2 + 1,741.4 = 12,722.6, one point of tax rate = 127; six points = 763. UCAN ARM 17.20 / 15.86 - 1 = 8.4%; UCAN net additions 80,128 - 74,296 = 5,832 (2023), 89,625 - 80,128 = 9,497 (2024); paid memberships growth 301,626 / 260,276 - 1 = 16%; top plan price 37 / 32 - 1 = 15.6%. Obligations: due in 12 months / revenue 11,528.0 / 45,183.0 = 25.5%; obligations / debt 25.1 / 14.3 = 1.75; off balance sheet 18.4 / 24.0 = 76% (end 2025), 19.6 / 25.1 = 78% (June 2026). Advertising: 1.5 / 45.2 = 3.3% of 2025 revenue; 3.0 / 51.2 = 5.9% of the 2026 guidance midpoint (51.0 + 51.4) / 2 = 51.2. Nielsen gap 13.8 - 8.0 = 5.8 points. Regions: 2025 shares UCAN 19,957.2 / 45,183.0 = 44.2%, EMEA 14,514.6 / 45,183.0 = 32.1%, LATAM 5,357.5 / 45,183.0 = 11.9%, APAC 5,353.7 / 45,183.0 = 11.8%; Q2 2026 UCAN 5,432 / 12,560 = 43.2%. UCAN growth 14,873.8 / 14,084.6 - 1 = 5.6% (2023), 17,359.4 / 14,873.8 - 1 = 16.7% (2024), 19,957.2 / 17,359.4 - 1 = 15.0% (2025). EMEA memberships 101,133 / 76,729 - 1 = 31.8%; APAC memberships 57,541 / 38,023 - 1 = 51.3%; APAC revenue 5,353.7 / 3,570.2 - 1 = 50%. UCAN share of 2022 streaming revenue 14,084.6 / 31,469.9 = 44.8%. Memberships 2022-2024: UCAN 89,625 / 74,296 - 1 = 20.6%, LATAM 53,327 / 41,699 - 1 = 27.9%. ARM gap UCAN less APAC 15.86 - 8.50 = 7.36 (2022), 17.20 - 7.29 = 9.91 (2024). H1 2026 revenue 24,809.7 / 51,200 = 48.5% of the guidance midpoint. Diluted shares 4,343,863 / 4,494,966 - 1 = -3.4%. Average buyback price Q2 2026 4.7bn / 52.93M shares = about $89; 2025 9,127.2 / 86.54M shares = about $105; 71.15 / 105 - 1 = -32%. Analyst target 92.93 / 71.15 - 1 = 31%. US revenue 18.5 / 13.8 - 1 = 34%. Hedging swing 124 - (-91) = 215. Revenue 2023-2025 45,183.0 / 33,723.3 - 1 = 34%; employees 16,000 / 13,000 - 1 = 23%. Q2 net income 3,401 / 3,125 - 1 = 8.8%. DVD revenue = total revenue less streaming revenue: 33,723.3 - 33,640.5 = 82.8 (2023); 31,615.6 - 31,469.9 = 145.7 (2022) - cash flow, capital returns, valuation and obligations. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in Netflix's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, shareholder letters, Nielsen's May 2026 Gauge and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  17. ReportedFifty-one of them follow the company with a consensus rating of buy and an average target of $92.93, well above the $71.15 close.
    Netflix (NFLX) market data - $71.15 a share at the close on 25 September 2026, market cap $296.24B, 52-week range $65.08-$124.86, 51 analysts with a $92.93 target; analyst downgrades on YouTube's share of viewing; Paramount's settlement with states on its $110B WBD deal. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  18. ReportedThe dissenters are specific: HSBC cut its target to $76 from $96 on YouTube taking share of viewing.
    Netflix (NFLX) market data - $71.15 a share at the close on 25 September 2026, market cap $296.24B, 52-week range $65.08-$124.86, 51 analysts with a $92.93 target; analyst downgrades on YouTube's share of viewing; Paramount's settlement with states on its $110B WBD deal. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  19. ReportedThe shares traded between $65.08 and $124.86 over the past year, and the market value was $397.29 billion at the end of 2025.
    Netflix (NFLX) market data - $71.15 a share at the close on 25 September 2026, market cap $296.24B, 52-week range $65.08-$124.86, 51 analysts with a $92.93 target; analyst downgrades on YouTube's share of viewing; Paramount's settlement with states on its $110B WBD deal. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
  20. ReportedThe shares traded between $65.08 and $124.86 over the past year, and the market value was $397.29 billion at the end of 2025.
    Netflix market capitalisation history - year-end values 2015-2025 ($48.88B in 2015, $397.29B in 2025) and a 42.09% fall in a year. — 2015-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
  21. ReportedAt the close of 25 September 2026 the enterprise value was $303.77 billion, barely above the market value, because net debt is small.
    Netflix (NFLX) statistics - trailing P/E 22.41, forward P/E 20.55, P/S 6.12, FCF yield 3.76%, 1-year change -40.91%, no dividend. — September 2026 · publ. 25 September 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 26, 2026