⚠ The Defective-Pricing SettlementLow threat

RTX (RTX) — threat to the moat

RTX paid $0.9 billion in 2024 to settle defective-pricing and foreign-payment cases, and works under a State Department export Consent Agreement.

A government customer checks the price. In October 2024 RTX resolved U.S. Department of Justice and SEC matters, including a False Claims Act settlement over defective pricing on contracts from 2011 to 2013 and 2017, alongside deferred prosecution agreements over payments in the Middle East, and took a $0.9 billion charge for the "Resolution of Certain Legal Matters"1. It also agreed an export-control Consent Agreement with the State Department2.

RTX charges in 2024 ($bn)0.9Legal matters0.5Raytheon contract terminationRTX Form 10-K FY2025; 1.5bn of cash paid for the two in 2024
Two charges, 1.5 billion of cash.

The settlements are closed, but they bear on the moat. A contractor whose pricing has been challenged operates under closer scrutiny, and a customer that can audit costs can also cap margins.

The Consent Agreement runs for three years and ties export compliance to oversight3, at a time when half of Raytheon's backlog is foreign4.

The 2024 cash cost was larger than the charge. RTX paid $1.5 billion that year for the legal settlements and the Raytheon contract termination combined5. For a company generating $4,534 million of free cash flow in 20246, that was a third of the year's cash7.

No single number tracks this, but corporate charges do. RTX recorded a $69 million litigation matter in the second quarter of 20268; a new charge of the 2024 size would mean the compliance problem is not behind it.

References
  1. ReportedIn October 2024 RTX resolved U.S. Department of Justice and SEC matters, including a False Claims Act settlement over defective pricing on contracts from 2011 to 2013 and 2017, alongside deferred prosecution agreements over payments in the Middle East, and took a $0.9 billion charge for the "Resolution of Certain Legal Matters".
    RTX Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - consolidated financial statements and notes: income statement, cash flow, dividends and repurchases, long-term debt of $37,700 million, goodwill by segment, pension income, the 2024 resolution of certain legal matters, the Raytheon contract termination and the accelerated share repurchase. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 6 February 2026 · source ↗
  2. ReportedIt also agreed an export-control Consent Agreement with the State Department.
    RTX Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - consolidated financial statements and notes: income statement, cash flow, dividends and repurchases, long-term debt of $37,700 million, goodwill by segment, pension income, the 2024 resolution of certain legal matters, the Raytheon contract termination and the accelerated share repurchase. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 6 February 2026 · source ↗
  3. ReportedThe Consent Agreement runs for three years and ties export compliance to oversight, at a time when half of Raytheon's backlog is foreign.
    RTX Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - consolidated financial statements and notes: income statement, cash flow, dividends and repurchases, long-term debt of $37,700 million, goodwill by segment, pension income, the 2024 resolution of certain legal matters, the Raytheon contract termination and the accelerated share repurchase. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 6 February 2026 · source ↗
  4. ReportedThe Consent Agreement runs for three years and ties export compliance to oversight, at a time when half of Raytheon's backlog is foreign.
    RTX second-quarter 2026 earnings call transcript (The Motley Fool) - Raytheon bookings and book-to-bill, GTF aircraft-on-ground and MRO output, munitions output, framework agreements, the defence budget request, GTF Advantage, Collins margin plans and segment outlook - defence: Raytheon bookings, book-to-bill and backlog, munitions output, framework agreements and the budget request. — Q2 2026 · publ. 24 July 2026 · source ↗
  5. ReportedRTX paid $1.5 billion that year for the legal settlements and the Raytheon contract termination combined.
    RTX Form 10-K for fiscal 2025 - consolidated financial statements and notes: income statement, cash flow, dividends and repurchases, long-term debt of $37,700 million, goodwill by segment, pension income, the 2024 resolution of certain legal matters, the Raytheon contract termination and the accelerated share repurchase. — FY2023-FY2025 · publ. 6 February 2026 · source ↗
  6. ReportedFor a company generating $4,534 million of free cash flow in 2024, that was a third of the year's cash.
    RTX fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99 - adjusted EPS of $6.29, free cash flow of $7,940 million, adjusted segment results and the January 2026 outlook. — FY2025 · publ. 27 January 2026 · source ↗
  7. Moat Explorer calcFor a company generating $4,534 million of free cash flow in 2024, that was a third of the year's cash.
    Moat Explorer calculation from RTX's Form 10-K FY2025, Q2 2026 earnings release and market data ($ millions unless stated). Goodwill plus intangibles 53,343 + 31,845 = 85,188; 85,188 / 171,079 = 49.8% of total assets; other assets 171,079 - 85,188 = 85,891. Reported against adjusted EPS 2025: 6.29 - 4.96 = 1.33, of which 1.15 acquisition accounting. Return on equity 6,732 / ((65,245 + 60,156) / 2) = 10.7%. Net debt: 37,700 + 204 - 7,435 = 30,469 (December 2025); 31,858 + 5,296 + 229 - 8,305 = 29,078 (June 2026). Net interest 1,749 / operating profit 9,300 = 18.8%. Dividends paid 3,574 / free cash flow 7,940 = 45%; free cash flow covers dividends 7,940 / 3,574 = 2.2 times. Pension items 753 + 1,182 = 1,935; 1,935 / net income 6,732 = 29%. Trailing twelve months to June 2026: revenue 88,603 + 46,784 - 41,887 = 93,500; net income 6,732 + 4,198 - 3,192 = 7,738. P/E 255.27 / 7.738 = 33.0; P/S 255.27 / 93.50 = 2.73. Year-end P/E = market value / net income and P/S = market value / revenue: 2021 128.81 / 3.864 = 33.3 and 128.81 / 64.388 = 2.00; 2022 148.36 / 5.197 = 28.5 and 2.21; 2023 120.99 / 3.195 = 37.9 and 120.99 / 68.920 = 1.76; 2024 154.03 / 4.774 = 32.3 and 1.91; 2025 245.90 / 6.732 = 36.5 and 2.78; 2020 108.60 / 56.587 = 1.92 (loss year). Revenue growth since 2023: 93.50 / 68.92 - 1 = 36%; market value 255.27 / 120.99 = 2.1 times. Share price against 52-week high 189.40 / 226.88 - 1 = -16.5%. Peers: Lockheed Martin plus General Dynamics 121.09 + 92.75 = 213.84 (below RTX's 255.27); RTX / Northrop Grumman 255.27 / 73.08 = 3.5 times. Q2 2026 operating margin 2,811 / 24,708 = 11.4%. Price over 2025 adjusted EPS 189.40 / 6.29 = 30 times. 2024 legal and termination cash 1.5 / free cash flow 4.534 = 33%. Pension sensitivity about 1.0 billion per 25 basis points, so about 4 billion per point; 4,000 / equity 65,245 = 6%. Enterprise value over trailing sales 285.82 / 93.50 = 3.1 times; price over 2026 consensus adjusted EPS 189.40 / 7.24 = 26 times. Purchase obligations after 2026 about 47 - 29 = 18 billion. Forecast extension: 2028 revenue 103.18 x 1.07 = 110.40 and EPS 7.85 x 1.084 = 8.51, extending 2027 consensus growth (not consensus). — 2020-2026 · publ. September 2026 · source ↗
    Method: Arithmetic on figures reported in RTX's Forms 10-K and 10-Q, earnings releases, earnings call and market data; operands shown in the source line.
  8. ReportedRTX recorded a $69 million litigation matter in the second quarter of 2026; a new charge of the 2024 size would mean the compliance problem is not behind it.
    RTX second-quarter 2026 earnings release, Form 8-K exhibit 99 - sales of $24.7 billion, segment results, cash flow, balance sheet and raised 2026 outlook. — Q2 2026 · publ. 23 July 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 28, 2026