Switching CostsWide moat

Amazon (AMZN) — moat facet

Software built on AWS rarely moves off it — the entanglement is the annuity.

The stickiness of AWS revenue is the heart of its quality as a business, and it comes from the simple, expensive fact that moving is hard — harder with every one of the 200+ proprietary services a workload can entangle itself with1. Once an enterprise has built its software to run on AWS — wired into its particular databases, its security model, its dozens of specialized services — unwinding all of that to move elsewhere is a project measured in years and fraught with risk, and few companies undertake it without a reason far more compelling than a slightly lower price.

AWS backlog: commitments not yet recognised ($B)$50BDec'20$80BDec'21$110BDec'22$156BDec'23$177BDec'24$244BDec'25$496BJun'26Amazon Forms 10-K FY2020-FY2025; Form 10-Q Q2 2026
Customers had committed $496B of future spending by June 2026, about ten times the 2020 figure.

The lock-in has several layers. The applications themselves are written against AWS's specific tools and interfaces. The engineers who built and maintain them are fluent in AWS and would have to relearn a rival's platform. And the data — accumulating into the petabytes over years — is expensive and slow to move, both technically and in the fees a customer pays to extract it. Each layer alone would deter a move; together they make it nearly unthinkable for most.

This is why AWS revenue behaves less like sales that must be won afresh each year and more like an annuity. The customer who signed on years ago keeps spending, and typically spends more over time as its own usage grows, without AWS having to re-win the business. Sticky revenue that expands on its own is the most valuable kind a business can have.

The switching cost also gives AWS pricing latitude. A customer weighing whether the cost of migrating is worth a modest saving almost always concludes it is not, which lets AWS hold prices firmer than a commodity market otherwise would. Lock-in built from a thousand technical entanglements is quieter than a contract, and far stronger.

Moat trajectory: Widening

Widening. Once a company builds on AWS — its data, its architecture, its team's skills, its tangle of interconnected services — moving to another cloud is costly, risky, and slow, and that lock deepens with every additional service adopted. Amazon keeps adding higher-level offerings that are stickier than raw compute, so customers integrate more and leave less. As workloads grow more complex and more entangled with AWS-specific tools, the cost of switching only rises. A steadily widening source of recurring revenue.

The number that tests this moat
Reported
Committed forward spend (AWS backlog)
$496B at 30 June 2026, from $244B at 31 December 2025

Contracts with original terms above a year, weighted-average remaining life 6.4 years. The doubling in six months includes OpenAI's $100B and Anthropic's more than $100B expansions, so the figure measures concentration as well as stickiness.

Source: Amazon Form 10-Q, Q2 2026 (Note 1) ↗
⚠ Threats to the moat
References
  1. ReportedAWS offers 200+ proprietary services for workloads to entangle with.
    AWS — service catalog of 200+ services across compute, storage, databases, analytics, ML — Current · publ. 2025-2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 22, 2026