Walmart: The Rival That Was Always BiggerNarrow moat

Amazon (AMZN) — moat facet

Nearly identical revenue, opposite shapes — and Walmart isn't trying to be Amazon, it's copying the parts of Amazon that make money.

The comparison people expect to be lopsided is not. Walmart's fiscal 2026 revenue of roughly $713 billion sits within a few billion of Amazon's $717 billion1 — two of the largest companies in the world, at the same scale, arrived at from opposite directions. Walmart built stores and added digital; Amazon built digital and is slowly adding physical.

Two ways to be the same size$713BWalmart revenue ($B)$717BAmazon revenue ($B)Online it isn't close: ~38% of U.S. e-commerce vs ~6%; Walmart e-comm +24%, 15 straight double-digit quarters
Near-identical scale reached from opposite directions — and Walmart isn't trying to become Amazon, it's copying the parts that earn money.

Online, though, the gap is not close: Amazon holds roughly 38% of American e-commerce against Walmart's 6%2. Walmart's answer has been to compete where its stores are an asset rather than a liability — grocery, which Amazon has never cracked despite Whole Foods, and same-day delivery from locations that already sit near the customer. Its online sales grew about 24%, extending a long streak of double-digit quarters, and it is building the same high-margin adjacencies Amazon did, with an advertising arm growing roughly 46%.

That last detail is the tell: Walmart is not trying to be Amazon, it is copying the parts of Amazon that make money. The competitive question is whether a retailer with 4,600 American stores can convert proximity into the one advantage Amazon cannot replicate quickly. Watch Walmart's e-commerce growth rate against Amazon's North America segment, and watch grocery share — the largest category in retail, and the one where Amazon's twenty-year advantage simply never materialised.

Moat trajectory: Narrowing

Walmart's e-commerce has now compounded at double digits for fifteen straight quarters and it is building the same high-margin advertising adjacency Amazon pioneered, growing far faster off a small base. Amazon's online lead remains roughly six to one, but the direction of travel favours the incumbent retailer using its stores as delivery nodes.

The number that tests this moat
Third-party estimate
U.S. e-commerce share
Amazon ~38% vs Walmart ~6%

Near-identical total revenue (~$713B vs ~$717B) but a six-to-one online gap — and Walmart's e-commerce has grown double digits for fifteen straight quarters while it builds the same advertising adjacency. Watch Walmart's e-commerce growth against Amazon's North America segment, and watch grocery.

Source: Walmart FY2026 results; e-commerce share estimates ↗
References
  1. Third-party estimateWalmart ~$713B revenue vs Amazon ~$717B; e-commerce +24% across 15 straight double-digit quarters; Walmart Connect ads +46%.
    Walmart FY2026 results / market statistics — Walmart revenue ~$713.16B (+4.7%) against Amazon's ~$716.9B; Walmart global e-commerce sales ~$150.4B (+24%), a 15th consecutive quarter of double-digit e-commerce growth; Walmart Connect advertising ~$6.4B (+46%) — FY2026 · publ. 2026 · source ↗
  2. Third-party estimateAmazon ~38% of U.S. e-commerce against Walmart's ~6%.
    U.S. e-commerce market share estimates — Amazon ~37.8% of U.S. e-commerce against Walmart ~6.3% — 2026 · publ. 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 22, 2026