⚠ Open Formats & Cloud PortabilityLow threat

Microsoft (MSFT) — threat to the moat

Portability standards keep improving, but the stickiness was never really the format — it's the live wiring around it.

The counterforce to data gravity is the long push toward open formats and data portability — the idea that a company's information should belong to the company, in forms it can carry wherever it likes. Open document standards, interoperable interfaces, and cloud rivals eager to help customers migrate all aim at the same target: making it cheaper to move the data that Microsoft's gravity works to keep still. Regulators, too, increasingly favor portability as a matter of policy.

Growth by line, FY2026 — the cloud against the portable part (%)+27%Microsoft Cloud+17%M365 Commercial cloud+13%M365 on-premises+1%Server products,on-premisesForm 10-K FY2026 — the on-premises server line is where portability would show
Portability is a real option and almost nobody takes it: the part a customer could carry away grew one per cent while the part that cannot grew twenty-seven.

Artificial intelligence sharpens the threat, because translating between formats and reshaping data was historically the hard, manual part of any migration, and AI can make it far easier. If moving years of records between systems becomes close to trivial, the physical-cost side of data gravity thins considerably.

The rejoinder is that the deeper stickiness was never really the format — it was the web of live integrations, the workflows, the applications wired to the data in place. Open formats let you export a file; they do not rebuild the thousand connections that assumed the file lived where it did. And Microsoft can support open formats itself while keeping the surrounding ecosystem proprietary enough to retain the pull.

Low-to-moderate, and slow-moving. Portability standards and AI-assisted migration genuinely lower one component of the switching cost, and a prudent owner should watch whether they compound — but data gravity was always less about the files than about everything wired to them, and that web remains stubbornly hard to move — which is why 'multi-cloud' in practice means adding clouds, not leaving them1.

References
  1. Third-party estimateMulti-cloud in practice means adding clouds, not leaving them (Flexera).
    Flexera State of the Cloud Report — most large enterprises run deliberate multi-cloud strategies — Recent annual reports · publ. 2025–2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 22, 2026