⚠ A Great Trademark Can't Fix a Fading CategoryModerate threat

Coca-Cola (KO) — threat to the moat

Owning the best name in cola doesn't help if the world drinks less cola.

The trademark is an unbreachable legal moat around the name — but a name is only as valuable as the demand for what it sells. Owning the exclusive rights to 'Coca-Cola' is worth an immense amount while the world drinks Coca-Cola; it is worth steadily less if the world drinks less cola. The trademark protects the company from imitators taking its name, but it offers no protection at all against the deeper risk that consumers simply shift away from sugary carbonated soft drinks toward water, health drinks, and alternatives — a shift already underway in developed markets.

North America unit case growth by category, 2025 (%)-1%Trademark Coca-Cola-1%Sparkling flavors-2%Juice, dairy, plant-based0%Water, sports, coffee, teaCoca-Cola Form 10-K FY2025; negative values shown as magnitudes
In 2025 every North American category except water and coffee shrank, the flagship included.

So the legal crown jewel guards the wrong flank if the real threat is category decline rather than imitation. A perfectly-defended trademark on a product falling out of favor is a strong lock on a shrinking vault. This is why the company's diversification into water, sports drinks, coffee, and reduced-sugar options matters so much: it is the effort to attach the trademark's protective power to categories that are growing rather than fading. The trademark ensures no one else can be Coca-Cola; it cannot ensure that being Coca-Cola stays as valuable as it is today — a $13.1 billion-a-year question1.

References
  1. ReportedA $13.1 billion-a-year question.
    Coca-Cola Form 10-K / FY2025 results — net revenue $47.9B (+2% reported, +5% organic), net income $13.1B, GAAP EPS $3.04, comparable EPS $3.00; 63rd consecutive annual dividend increase to $2.04 — FY2025 · publ. February 2026 · source ↗
Sources
Generated September 23, 2026